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2019 set to be 2nd or 3rd warmest year on record 新闻
来源平台:world meteorological organization (wmo). 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/17
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Benefits of Investments in climate services for agriculture and food security outweigh costs 新闻
来源平台:world meteorological organization (wmo). 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/17
Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 964-+
作者:  Tokarska, Katarzyna B.;  Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich;  Rogelj, Joeri;  Stolpe, Martin B.;  Matthews, H. Damon;  Pfleiderer, Peter;  Gillett, Nathan P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 983-+
作者:  Mankin, Justin S.;  Seager, Richard;  Smerdon, Jason E.;  Cook, Benjamin I.;  Williams, A. Park
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Greenhouse gas concentrations in atmosphere reach yet another high 新闻
来源平台:world meteorological organization (wmo). 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/17
Modelling convective precipitation – progress and challenges 新闻
来源平台:European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. 发布日期:2019
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/01/16
Consistent CO2 release by pyrite oxidation on continental shelves prior to glacial terminations 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (11) : 929-934
作者:  Koelling, Martin;  Bouimetarhan, Ilham;  Bowles, Marshall W.;  Felis, Thomas;  Goldhammer, Tobias;  Hinrichs, Kai-Uwe;  Schulz, Michael;  Zabel, Matthias
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
West Antarctic surface melt triggered by atmospheric rivers 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (11) : 911-+
作者:  Wille, Jonathan D.;  Favier, Vincent;  Dufour, Ambroise;  Gorodetskaya, Irina V.;  Turner, John;  Agosta, Cecile;  Codron, Francis
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Emergent constraints on Earth's transient and equilibrium response to doubled CO2 from post-1970s global warming 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (11) : 902-+
作者:  Jimenez-de-la-Cuesta, Diego;  Mauritsen, Thorsten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16