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Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Emergence of robust precipitation changes across crop production areas in the 21st century 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (14) : 6673-6678
作者:  Rojas, Maisa;  Lambert, Fabrice;  Ramirez-Villegas, Julian;  Challinor, Andrew J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate change  natural variability  precipitation  agriculture  CMIP5  
Historical change of El Niño properties sheds light on future changes of extreme El Niño 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (45) : 22512-22517
作者:  Bin Wang;  Xiao Luo;  Young-Min Yang;  Weiyi Sun;  Mark A. Cane;  Wenju Cai;  Sang-Wook Yeh;  and Jian Liu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
El Niño onset  El Niño diversity  El Niño onset regime shift  future projection of extreme El Niño  
Land-atmosphere feedbacks exacerbate concurrent soil drought and atmospheric aridity 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (38) : 18848-18853
作者:  Zhou, Sha;  Williams, A. Park;  Berg, Alexis M.;  Cook, Benjamin I.;  Zhang, Yao;  Hagemann, Stefan;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Seneviratne, Sonia I.;  Gentine, Pierre
收藏  |  浏览/下载：37/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
soil moisture  vapor pressure deficit  compound extreme events  GLACE-CMIP5  
Consistent trophic amplification of marine biomass declines under climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (1) : 218-229
作者:  Kwiatkowski, Lester;  Aumont, Olivier;  Bopp, Laurent
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  food quality  marine primary production  plankton  stoichiometry  trophic amplification