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Impact of Arctic amplification on declining spring dust events in East Asia 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Liu, Jun;  Wu, Dongyou;  Liu, Guangjing;  Mao, Rui;  Chen, Siyu;  Ji, Mingxia;  Fu, Pingqing;  Sun, Yele;  Pan, Xiaole;  Jin, Hongchun;  Zhou, Yubin;  Wang, Xin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Dust event occurrences  Dust index  Arctic amplification  Temperature gradient  Future prediction  
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
Season-dependent predictability barrier for two types of El Nino revealed by an approach to data analysis for predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5561-5581
作者:  Hou, Meiyi;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhi, Xiefei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Weather regimes and analogues downscaling of seasonal precipitation for the 21st century: A case study over Israel 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Hochman, Assaf;  Kunin, Pavel;  Alpert, Pinhas;  Harpaz, Tzvi;  Saaroni, Hadas;  Rostkier-Edelstein, Dorita
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
analogues downscaling  climate change  CMIP5 predictions  Eastern Mediterranean  seasonal precipitation  synoptic classification  weather regimes  
Decadal predictability of temperature and precipitation means and extremes in a perfect-model experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3711-3729
作者:  Liu, Yiling;  Donat, Markus G.;  Rust, Henning W.;  Alexander, Lisa V.;  England, Matthew H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Climate prediction  Predictability  Precipitation  Temperature  Climate extremes  Perfect model  CMIP5  
Role of wind stress in driving SST biases in the Tropical Atlantic 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3481-3504
作者:  Voldoire, Aurore;  Exarchou, Eleftheria;  Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia;  Demissie, Teferi;  Deppenmeier, Anna-Lena;  Frauen, Claudia;  Goubanova, Katerina;  Hazeleger, Wilco;  Keenlyside, Noel;  Koseki, Shunya;  Prodhomme, Chloe;  Shonk, Jonathan;  Toniazzo, Thomas;  Traore, Abdoul-Khadre
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
The Signal-to-Noise Paradox for Interannual Surface Atmospheric Temperature Predictions 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (15) : 9031-9041
作者:  Sevellec, F.;  Drijfhout, S. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Improving probabilistic hydroclimatic projections through high-resolution convection-permitting climate modeling and Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1613-1636
作者:  Wang, S.;  Wang, Y.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Convection permitting  High-resolution climate projection  Hydroclimatic changes  Markov chain Monte Carlo  Pseudo global warming  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 847-877
作者:  Karmalkar, Ambarish V.;  Sexton, David M. H.;  Murphy, James M.;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Rostron, John W.;  McNeall, Doug J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Uncertainty  Perturbed parameter ensemble  Seamless assessment  Statistical emulation  Filtering parameter space  Plausible model variants  
The impact of climate model sea surface temperature biases on tropical cyclone simulations 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 173-192
作者:  Hsu, Wei-Ching;  Patricola, Christina M.;  Chang, Ping
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
SST bias  Tropical cyclones  Tropical channel model  Climate model bias