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Predicting Sudden Stratospheric Warming 2018 and Its Climate Impacts With a Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (24) : 13538-13546
作者:  Karpechko, Alexey Yu.;  Charlton-Perez, Andrew;  Balmaseda, Magdalena;  Tyrrell, Nicholas;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction  sudden stratospheric warming  stratosphere-troposphere coupling  extended range forecasts  
On the Harvest of Predictability From Land States in a Global Forecast Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (23) : 13111-13127
作者:  Dirmeyer, Paul A.;  Halder, Subhadeep;  Bombardi, Rodrigo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
predictability  forecast skill  subseasonal  prediction  
Partial least regression approach to forecast the East Asian winter monsoon using Eurasian snow cover and sea surface temperature 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4573-4584
作者:  Yu, Lulu;  Wu, Zhiwei;  Zhang, Renhe;  Yang, Xin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Statistical model  East Asian winter monsoon  Seasonal prediction  
Predictability of summer extreme precipitation days over eastern China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4543-4554
作者:  Li, Juan;  Wang, Bin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Extreme precipitation  Eastern China  Physics-based empirical model  Seasonal predictability  Seasonal prediction  East Asian summer monsoon  
Seasonal prediction of the typhoon genesis frequency over the Western North Pacific with a Poisson regression model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4585-4600
作者:  Zhang, Xinchang;  Zhong, Shanshan;  Wu, Zhiwei;  Li, Yun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Typhoon genesis frequency  Western North Pacific  Prediction  Poisson regression  
Linkages between the South and East Asian summer monsoons: a review and revisit 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4207-4227
作者:  Ha, Kyung-Ja;  Seo, Ye-Won;  Lee, June-Yi;  Kripalani, R. H.;  Yun, Kyung-Sook
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
South Asia monsoon  East Asia monsoon  El Nino and Southern oscillation  Indian Ocean Dipole mode  Interannual variability  Interdecadal variability  
Processes Controlling Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice Predictability in the Community Earth System Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (23) : 9771-9786
作者:  Ordonez, Ana C.;  Bitz, Cecilia M.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Sea ice  Climate models  Coupled models  
The South Pacific Meridional Mode and Its Role in Tropical Pacific Climate Variability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (24) : 10141-10163
作者:  You, Yujia;  Furtado, Jason C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
South Pacific Ocean  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  ENSO  Tropical variability  
Seasonal prediction of high-resolution temperature at 2-m height over Mongolia during boreal winter using both coupled general circulation model and artificial neural network 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5418-5429
作者:  Bayasgalan, Gerelchuluun;  Ahn, Joong-Bae
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
artificial neural network  coupled general circulation model  Mongolian temperature  seasonal prediction  
Coupled model fidelity in capturing atmospheric internal processes during organization and intensification of boreal summer intra-seasonal oscillation 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5339-5353
作者:  Sarkar, Sahadat;  Mukhopadhyay, Parthasarathi;  Krishna, Ravuri Phani Murali;  Dutta, Somenath
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
atmospheric energetics  BSISO  CFSv2 T126  EKE budget