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Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (52) : 13288-13293
作者:  Burke, K. D.;  Williams, J. W.;  Chandler, M. A.;  Haywood, A. M.;  Lunt, D. J.;  Otto-Bliesner, B. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  climate analog  no analog  paleoclimate  planetary boundary  
Forecasting effects of tree species reintroduction strategies on carbon stocks in a future without historical analog 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (11) : 5500-5517
作者:  Gustafson, Eric J.;  Sturtevant, Brian R.;  de Bruijn, Arjan M. G.;  Lichti, Nathanael;  Jacobs, Douglass F.;  Kashian, Daniel M.;  Miranda, Brian R.;  Townsend, Philip A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
American chestnut  Castanea dentata  central Appalachians  climate change  elevated CO2  forest carbon stocks  forest succession  LANDIS-II  PnET-Succession  
How will climate novelty influence ecological forecasts? Using the Quaternary to assess future reliability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (8) : 3575-3586
作者:  Fitzpatrick, Matthew C.;  Blois, Jessica L.;  Williams, John W.;  Nieto-Lugilde, Diego;  Maguire, Kaitlin C.;  Lorenz, David J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  climate novelty  community-level modeling  ecological forecasting  no-analog climate  Quaternary  species distribution modeling  
Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (2) : 563-579
作者:  Alexander, Jake M.;  Chalmandrier, Loic;  Lenoir, Jonathan;  Burgess, Treena I.;  Essl, Franz;  Haider, Sylvia;  Kueffer, Christoph;  McDougall, Keith;  Milbau, Ann;  Nunez, Martin A.;  Pauchard, Anibal;  Rabitsch, Wolfgang;  Rew, Lisa J.;  Sanders, Nathan J.;  Pellissier, Loic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:28/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
alpine ecosystems  biotic interactions  climate change  climatic debt  migration  novel interactions  range dynamics  range expansion  
Predicting Chronic Climate-Driven Disturbances and Their Mitigation 期刊论文
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, 2018, 33 (1) : 15-27
作者:  McDowell, Nate G.;  Michaletz, Sean T.;  Bennett, Katrina E.;  Solander, Kurt C.;  Xu, Chonggang;  Maxwell, Reed M.;  Middleton, Richard S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09