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Less than 2 degrees C warming by 2100 unlikely 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2017, 7 (9)
作者:  Raftery, Adrian E.;  Zimmer, Alec;  Frierson, Dargan M. W.;  Startz, Richard;  Liu, Peiran
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Predicting nonstationary flood frequencies: Evidence supports an updated stationarity thesis in the United States 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (7)
作者:  Luke, Adam;  Vrugt, Jasper A.;  AghaKouchak, Amir;  Matthew, Richard;  Sanders, Brett F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
When mechanism matters: Bayesian forecasting using models of ecological diffusion 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2017, 20 (5)
作者:  Hefley, Trevor J.;  Hooten, Mevin B.;  Russell, Robin E.;  Walsh, Daniel P.;  Powell, James A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Agent-based model  Bayesian analysis  boosted regression trees  dispersal  generalised additive model  invasion  partial differential equation  prediction  spatial confounding  
How to make more out of community data? A conceptual framework and its implementation as models and software 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2017, 20 (5)
作者:  Ovaskainen, Otso;  Tikhonov, Gleb;  Norberg, Anna;  Blanchet, F. Guillaume;  Duan, Leo;  Dunson, David;  Roslin, Tomas;  Abrego, Nerea
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Assembly process  biotic filtering  community distribution  community modelling  community similarity  environmental filtering  functional trait  joint species distribution model  metacommunity  phylogenetic signal  
Simulation of the cumulative hydrological response to green infrastructure 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (4)
作者:  Avellaneda, P. M.;  Jefferson, A. J.;  Grieser, J. M.;  Bush, S. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：0/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Approximate Bayesian computation methods for daily spatiotemporal precipitation occurrence simulation 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (4)
作者:  Olson, Branden;  Kleiber, William
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Integrated population modeling reveals the impact of climate on the survival of juvenile emperor penguins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (3)
作者:  Abadi, Fitsum;  Barbraud, Christophe;  Gimenez, Olivier
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Bayesian  climate change  emperor penguins  integrated population model  sea ice concentration  southern annular mode  survival  
Improving probabilistic prediction of daily streamflow by identifying Pareto optimal approaches for modeling heteroscedastic residual errors 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (3)
作者:  McInerney, David;  Thyer, Mark;  Kavetski, Dmitri;  Lerat, Julien;  Kuczera, George
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
probabilistic prediction  hydrological models  residual errors  heteroscedasticity  Pareto optimality  Box-Cox transformation