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Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Skill of Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction in multiple seasonal prediction systems 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5291-5301
作者:  Jain, Shipra;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Mitra, Ashis K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Climate Historical Forecasts Project (CHFP)  Seasonal prediction  Indian monsoon  ENSO-monsoon teleconnection  Seasonal hindcasts  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Observed and Simulated Teleconnections Between the Stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere Winter Atmospheric Circulation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (3) : 1219-1232
作者:  Andrews, Martin B.;  Knight, Jeff R.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Lu, Yixiong;  Wu, Tongwen;  Gray, Lesley J.;  Schenzinger, Verena
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
QBO  teleconnections  Arctic Oscillation  North Atlantic Oscillation  
Tropical rainfall predictions from multiple seasonal forecast systems 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (2) : 974-988
作者:  Scaife, Adam A.;  Ferranti, Laura;  Alves, Oscar;  Athanasiadis, Panos;  Baehr, Johanna;  Deque, Michel;  Dippe, Tina;  Dunstone, Nick;  Fereday, David;  Gudgel, Richard G.;  Greatbatch, Richard J.;  Hermanson, Leon;  Imada, Yukiko;  Jain, Shipra;  Kumar, Arun;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Merryfield, William;  Mueller, Wolfgang A.;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Smith, Doug;  Takaya, Yuhei;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ensemble  ENSO  NAO  PNA  seasona prediction  tropical rainfall  
Intraseasonal Effects of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on North Atlantic Climate 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (21) : 8861-8873
作者:  Ayarzaguena, Blanca;  Ineson, Sarah;  Dunstone, Nick J.;  Baldwin, Mark P.;  Scaife, Adam A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
An extreme negative Indian Ocean Dipole event in 2016: dynamics and predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 89-100
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Wu, Jie;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Wan, Jianghua;  Eade, Rosie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Gordon, Margaret
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian Ocean Dipole  Air-sea interaction  East African drought  Seasonal prediction  
Skillful seasonal predictions of winter precipitation over southern China 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (7)
作者:  Lu, Bo;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Smith, Doug;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Liu, Ying;  Eade, Rosie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
winter precipitation  seasonal prediction  ENSO teleconnection  
Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (12)
作者:  Jia, Liwei;  Yang, Xiaosong;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Gudgel, Richard;  Delworth, Thomas;  Fueglistaler, Stephan;  Lin, Pu;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Underwood, Seth;  Lin, Shian-Jiann
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09