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Reconciling theory with the reality of African heatwaves 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Circulation analogues and uncertainty in the time-evolution of extreme event probabilities: evidence from the 1947 Central European heatwave 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2229-2247
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Cowan, Tim;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Circulation analogues  Heatwaves  Extreme weather events  Signal-to-noise ratios  Climate change  
Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (2)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Lewis, Sophie;  Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.;  King, Andrew D.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  extreme events  attribution  time of maximum similarity  global temperatures  
How Uneven Are Changes to Impact-Relevant Climate Hazards in a 1.5 degrees C World and Beyond? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (13) : 6672-6680
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Frame, Dave;  King, Andrew D.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  Paris Agreement  climate impacts  adaptation  
Changing population dynamics and uneven temperature emergence combine to exacerbate regional exposure to heat extremes under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (3)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change emergence  heat extremes  population exposure  paris agreement  
Contrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystems 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (7)
作者:  Sippel, Sebastian;  Forkel, Matthias;  Rammig, Anja;  Thonicke, Kirsten;  Flach, Milan;  Heimann, Martin;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Reichstein, Markus;  Mahecha, Miguel D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate extremes  carbon cycle extremes  vegetation modelling  biogeosciences  climate change  ensemble modelling