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Circulation analogues and uncertainty in the time-evolution of extreme event probabilities: evidence from the 1947 Central European heatwave 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2229-2247
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Cowan, Tim;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Circulation analogues  Heatwaves  Extreme weather events  Signal-to-noise ratios  Climate change  
Embracing the complexity of extreme weather events when quantifying their likelihood of recurrence in a warming world 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (2)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Lewis, Sophie;  Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.;  King, Andrew D.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：16/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  extreme events  attribution  time of maximum similarity  global temperatures  
Adapting attribution science to the climate extremes of tomorrow 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  attribution  extreme events  future projections  saturation  adaptation  
Changing population dynamics and uneven temperature emergence combine to exacerbate regional exposure to heat extremes under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (3)
作者:  Harrington, Luke J.;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：2/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change emergence  heat extremes  population exposure  paris agreement