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Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1581-1596
作者:  Herger, Nadja;  Abramowitz, Gab;  Sherwood, Steven;  Knutti, Reto;  Angelil, Oliver;  Sisson, Scott A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Multi-objective optimisation  Pareto optimality  Constraint  Multi-model ensemble  Prediction  Model-as-truth experiments  
Calibrating Climate Model Ensembles for Assessing Extremes in a Changing Climate 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (11) : 5988-6004
作者:  Herger, Nadja;  Angelil, Oliver;  Abramowitz, Gab;  Donat, Markus;  Stone, Daithi;  Lehmann, Karsten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
multimodel ensemble  extremes  attribution  calibration  bias correction  prediction  
Quantifying the effect of interannual ocean variability on the attribution of extreme climate events to human influence 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Risser, Mark D.;  Stone, Daithi A.;  Paciorek, Christopher J.;  Wehner, Michael F.;  Angelil, Oliver
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate change  Anthropogenic  Event attribution  Extreme weather  Risk ratio  
Attribution of the July-August 2013 heat event in Central and Eastern China to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (5)
作者:  Ma, Shuangmei;  Zhou, Tianjun;  Stone, Daithi A.;  Angelil, Oliver;  Shiogama, Hideo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
attribution  internal variability  human influence