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Impact of Tropical Cyclone Initialization on Its Convection Development and Intensity: A Case Study of Typhoon Megi (2010) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 443-464
作者:  Chang, Yi-Pin;  Yang, Shu-Chih;  Lin, Kuan-Jen;  Lien, Guo-Yuan;  Wu, Chien-Ming
收藏  |  浏览/下载：17/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Tropical cyclones  Ensembles  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Data assimilation  
Reply to "Comments on 'What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?'" 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 787-793
作者:  Sun, Y. Qiang;  Zhang, Fuqing;  Magnusson, Linus;  Buizza, Roberto;  Chen, Jan-Huey;  Emanuel, Kerry
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Error analysis  Forecasting  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Operational forecasting  Ensembles  Model errors  
The Role of Tropical Heating and Internal Variability in the California Response to the 2015/16 ENSO Event 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (10) : 3115-3128
作者:  Swenson, Erik T.;  Straus, David M.;  Snide, Chelsea E.;  al Fahad, Abdullah
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
El Nino  Heating  Teleconnections  Hydrologic cycle  Seasonal forecasting  Climate models  
Predictability of Idealized Thunderstorms in Buoyancy-Shear Space 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (9) : 2653-2672
作者:  Lawson, John R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Storm environments  Supercells  Thunderstorms  Mesoscale forecasting  Short-range prediction  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  
Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (5) : 1373-1395
作者:  Morales, Annareli;  Posselt, Derek J.;  Morrison, Hugh;  He, Fei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (4) : 1077-1091
作者:  Zhang, Fuqing;  Sun, Y. Qiang;  Magnusson, Linus;  Buizza, Roberto;  Lin, Shian-Jiann;  Chen, Jan-Huey;  Emanuel, Kerry
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Operational forecasting  
Estimating the Intrinsic Limit of Predictability Using a Stochastic Convection Scheme 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (3) : 757-765
作者:  Selz, Tobias
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Deep convection  Ensembles  Convective parameterization  Numerical weather prediction/forecasting  
Identifying the Sources of Convective Memory in Cloud-Resolving Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (3) : 947-962
作者:  Colin, Maxime;  Sherwood, Steven;  Geoffroy, Olivier;  Bony, Sandrine;  Fuchs, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Tropics  Deep convection  Radiative-convective equilibrium  Mesoscale systems  Cloud resolving models  Convective parameterization  
On the Time Evolution of Limited-Area Ensemble Variance: Case Studies with the Convection-Permitting Ensemble COSMO-E 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (1) : 11-26
作者:  Klasa, Christina;  Arpagaus, Marco;  Walser, Andre;  Wernli, Heini
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Ensembles  Mesoscale forecasting  Short-range prediction  Nonhydrostatic models  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Regional models  
Ensemble Spread Grows More Rapidly in Higher-Resolution Simulations of Deep Convection 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 75 (10) : 3331-3345
作者:  Weyn, Jonathan A.;  Durran, Dale R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：2/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Ensembles  Mesoscale forecasting  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting