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Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2043-2060
作者:  Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite;  Arrizabalaga, Haritz;  Hobday, Alistair J.;  Cabre, Anna;  Ibaibarriaga, Leire;  Arregui, Igor;  Murua, Hilario;  Chust, Guillem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
climate change  exclusive economic zone  future projections  poleward shift  species distribution model  tuna  
Thermoregulatory traits combine with range shifts to alter the future of montane ant assemblages 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2162-2173
作者:  Bishop, Tom R.;  Parr, Catherine L.;  Gibb, Heloise;  van Rensbure, Berndt J.;  Braschler, Brigitte;  Chown, Steven L.;  Foord, Stefan H.;  Lamy, Kevin;  Munyai, Thinandavha C.;  Okey, Iona;  Tshivhandekano, Pfarelo G.;  Werenkraut, Victoria;  Robertson, Mark P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
abundance  ants  climate change  range shifts  thermoregulation  traits  
Effects of mesophyll conductance on vegetation responses to elevated CO2 concentrations in a land surface model 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (5) : 1820-1838
作者:  Knauer, Juergen;  Zaehle, Soenke;  De Kauwe, Martin G.;  Bahar, Nur H. A.;  Evans, John R.;  Medlyn, Belinda E.;  Reichstein, Markus;  Werner, Christiane
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
elevated CO2 concentrations  land surface modeling  mesophyll conductance  photosynthetic CO2 sensitivity  representative concentration pathways  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Near-future forest vulnerability to drought and fire varies across the western United States 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (1) : 290-303
作者:  Buotte, Polly C.;  Levis, Samuel;  Law, Beverly E.;  Hudiburg, Tara W.;  Rupp, David E.;  Kent, Jeffery J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  drought  fire  forest  modeling  western United States  
Opportunities for climate-risk reduction through effective fisheries management 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (11) : 5149-5163
作者:  Cheung, William W. L.;  Jones, Miranda C.;  Reygondeau, Gabriel;  Frolicher, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
adaptation  climate change  fishing  fuzzy logic  risk of impacts  vulnerability  
Assessing the sensitivity of bivalve populations to global warming using an individual-based modelling approach 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (10) : 4581-4597
作者:  Thomas, Yoann;  Bacher, Cedric
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
benthic species  biogeography  climate scenario  dynamic energy budget  global warming  phenology  population dynamics  temperature tolerance  
How will climate novelty influence ecological forecasts? Using the Quaternary to assess future reliability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (8) : 3575-3586
作者:  Fitzpatrick, Matthew C.;  Blois, Jessica L.;  Williams, John W.;  Nieto-Lugilde, Diego;  Maguire, Kaitlin C.;  Lorenz, David J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  climate novelty  community-level modeling  ecological forecasting  no-analog climate  Quaternary  species distribution modeling  
Impact of priming on global soil carbon stocks 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (5) : 1873-1883
作者:  Guenet, Bertrand;  Camino-Serrano, Marta;  Ciais, Philippe;  Tifafi, Marwa;  Maignan, Fabienne;  Soong, Jennifer L.;  Janssens, Ivan A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
carbon cycle  climate change  land surface model  priming  RCP scenario