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Assessing the Impact of Initialization on Decadal Prediction Skill 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (4)
作者:  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel;  Boer, George J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Understanding the Signal-to-Noise Paradox with a Simple Markov Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (22) : 13308-13317
作者:  Zhang, Wei;  Kirtman, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Signal-to-noise paradox  Climate prediction  Markov model  CMIP5 models  Ensemble forecast  
The Signal-to-Noise Paradox for Interannual Surface Atmospheric Temperature Predictions 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (15) : 9031-9041
作者:  Sevellec, F.;  Drijfhout, S. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Causal Links on Interannual Timescale Between ENSO and the IOD in CMIP5 Future Simulations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (5) : 2820-2828
作者:  Thanh Le;  Bae, Deg-Hyo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
ENSO  IOD  CMIP5  Granger causality  SAM  ISMR  
How Global Warming Changes the Difficulty of Synoptic Weather Forecasting 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (5) : 2931-2939
作者:  Scher, S.;  Messori, G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
ensemble forecasts  climate change  forecast uncertainty  synoptic meteorology  
Tropical Pacific SST and ITCZ Biases in Climate Models: Double Trouble for Future Rainfall Projections? 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (4) : 2242-2252
作者:  Samanta, Dhrubajyoti;  Karnauskas, Kristopher B.;  Goodkin, Nathalie F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Understanding the Dynamic Contribution to Future Changes in Tropical Precipitation From Low-Level Convergence Lines 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (4) : 2196-2203
作者:  Weller, Evan;  Jakob, Christian;  Reeder, Michael J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Use of Satellite Soil Moisture to Diagnose Climate Model Representations of European Soil Moisture-Air Temperature Coupling Strength 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (23) : 12884-12891
作者:  Dong, Jianzhi;  Crow, Wade T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
A First Look at Decadal Hydrological Predictability by Land Surface Ensemble Simulations 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (5) : 2362-2369
作者:  Yuan, Xing;  Zhu, Enda
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
predictability  decadal prediction  land surface model  ESP  terrestrial water storage  CLM  
Reduction of initial shock in decadal predictions using a new initialization strategy 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (16)
作者:  He, Yujun;  Wang, Bin;  Liu, Mimi;  Liu, Li;  Yu, Yongqiang;  Liu, Juanjuan;  Li, Ruizhe;  Zhang, Cheng;  Xu, Shiming;  Huang, Wenyu;  Liu, Qun;  Wang, Yong;  Li, Feifei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
DRP-4DVar  initial shock  decadal prediction  CMIP5