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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
Comparison and Verification of Point-Wise and Patch-Wise Localized Probability-Matched Mean Algorithms for Ensemble Consensus Precipitation Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Snook, Nathan;  Kong, Fanyou;  Clark, Adam;  Roberts, Brett;  Brewster, Keith A.;  Xue, Ming
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/01
Hybrid Prediction of Weekly Tornado Activity Out to Week 3: Utilizing Weather Regimes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Miller, Douglas E.;  Wang, Zhuo;  Trapp, Robert J.;  Harnos, Daniel S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
tornado prediction  hybrid prediction  weather regimes  extended range  
Subseasonal Vacillations in the Winter Stratosphere 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Hardiman, S. C.;  Scaife, A. A.;  Dunstone, N. J.;  Wang, L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
seasonal forecast  wave-mean flow interaction  stratosphere  polar vortex  
Excessive Momentum and False Alarms in Late-Spring ENSO Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (8)
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
ENSO  prediction  forecast busts  
Probabilistic Forecasting of El Nino Using Neural Network Models 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Petersik, Paul Johannes;  Dijkstra, Henk A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
El Nino  prediction  machine learning  neural networks  probabilistic forecasting  
Link Between Autumnal Arctic Sea Ice and Northern Hemisphere Winter Forecast Skill 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (5)
作者:  Acosta Navarro, J. C.;  Ortega, P.;  Batte, L.;  Smith, D.;  Bretonniere, P. A.;  Guemas, V;  Massonnet, F.;  Sicardi, V;  Torralba, V;  Tourigny, E.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Relating CMIP5 Model Biases to Seasonal Forecast Skill in the Tropical Pacific 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (5)
作者:  Ding, Hui;  Newman, Matthew;  Alexander, Michael A.;  Wittenberg, Andrew T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Assessing the Impact of Initialization on Decadal Prediction Skill 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (4)
作者:  Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel;  Boer, George J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
A Multiscale Precipitation Forecasting Framework: Linking Teleconnections and Climate Dipoles to Seasonal and 24-hr Extreme Rainfall Prediction 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (3)
作者:  Kim, Yong-Tak;  So, Byung-Jin;  Kwon, Hyun-Han;  Lall, Upmanu
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02