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The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6947-6960
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Tang, Youmin;  Yang, Dejian;  Cheng, Yanjie;  Song, Xunshu;  Hou, Zhaolu;  Shen, Zheqi;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Wu, Yanling;  Li, Xiaojing;  Zhang, Banglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
ENSO ensemble forecast  Predictability  Nonlinear monotonic relationship  
Nonlinear optimal moisture perturbations as excitation of primary MJO events in a hybrid coupled climate model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Wei, Yuntao;  Ren, Hong-Li;  Mu, Mu;  Fu, Joshua-Xiouhua
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Primary MJO event  CNOP  Nonlinear moisture advection  Nonlinear optimal excitation  
Season-dependent predictability barrier for two types of El Nino revealed by an approach to data analysis for predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 5561-5581
作者:  Hou, Meiyi;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhi, Xiefei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Investigating the predictability of North Atlantic sea surface height 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2175-2195
作者:  Fraser, Robert;  Palmer, Matthew;  Roberts, Christopher;  Wilson, Chris;  Copsey, Dan;  Zanna, Laure
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
North Atlantic Ocean  Sea surface height  Internal variability  Predictability  Optimal initial conditions  Statistical forecasting  
Model parameter-related optimal perturbations and their contributions to El Nino prediction errors 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 1425-1441
作者:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Intermediate coupled model  CNOP approach  Model parameters  El Nino predictability  
Towards optimal observational array for dealing with challenges of El Nino-Southern Oscillation predictions due to diversities of El Nino 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 3351-3368
作者:  Duan, Wansuo;  Li, Xuquan;  Tian, Ben
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Attractor radius and global attractor radius and their application to the quantification of predictability limits 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 2359-2374
作者:  Li, Jianping;  Feng, Jie;  Ding, Ruiqiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：2/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Dynamical attribution of oceanic prediction uncertainty in the North Atlantic: application to the design of optimal monitoring systems 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51 (4) : 1517-1535
作者:  Sevellec, Florian;  Dijkstra, Henk A.;  Drijfhout, Sybren S.;  Germe, Agathe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
An improved simulation of the 2015 El Nio event by optimally correcting the initial conditions and model parameters in an intermediate coupled model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 269-282
作者:  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
The 2015 El Nino event  ICM  The CNOP-based approach  Optimal bias corrections to ICs and MPs  
Characterizing unforced multi-decadal variability of ENSO: a case study with the GFDL CM2.1 coupled GCM 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Atwood, A. R.;  Battisti, D. S.;  Wittenberg, A. T.;  Roberts, W. H. G.;  Vimont, D. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
ENSO  Multi-decadal variability  GFDL CM2.1  Linearized model  Nonlinear feedbacks