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Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Multi-model seasonal forecasts for the wind energy sector 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2715-2729
作者:  Lee, Doo Young;  Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.;  Torralba, Veronica;  Gonzalez-Reviriego, Nube
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal prediction systems  Statistical post-processing  Multi-model ensemble  10 m wind speed  Forecast verification  
The role of air-sea coupling in the downscaled hydroclimate projection over Peninsular Florida and the West Florida Shelf 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2931-2947
作者:  Bhardwaj, Amit;  Misra, Vasubandhu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Bias adjustment for decadal predictions of precipitation in Europe from CCLM 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1323-1340
作者:  Li, Jingmin;  Pollinger, Felix;  Panitz, Hans-Juergen;  Feldmann, Hendrik;  Paeth, Heiko
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Bias-adjustment  CCLM  Hindcasts  Decadal prediction  Precipitation  Model output statistics  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part1: establishing the relationship between errors at weather and climate time scales 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 989-1022
作者:  Sexton, D. M. H.;  Karmalkar, A. V.;  Murphy, J. M.;  Williams, K. D.;  Boutle, I. A.;  Morcrette, C. J.;  Stirling, A. J.;  Vosper, S. B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Perturbed parameter ensembles  Transpose AMIP  Model development  Sensitivity analysis  Elicitation  
Finding plausible and diverse variants of a climate model. Part II: development and validation of methodology 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 847-877
作者:  Karmalkar, Ambarish V.;  Sexton, David M. H.;  Murphy, James M.;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Rostron, John W.;  McNeall, Doug J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Uncertainty  Perturbed parameter ensemble  Seamless assessment  Statistical emulation  Filtering parameter space  Plausible model variants  
Indian summer monsoon onset forecast skill in the UK Met Office initialized coupled seasonal forecasting system (GloSea5-GC2) 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6599-6617
作者:  Chevuturi, Amulya;  Turner, Andrew G.;  Woolnough, Steven J.;  Martin, Gill M.;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Indian summer monsoon  Monsoon onset  GloSea5-GC2  Forecast skill  ENSO  
Transient contributions to the forcing of the atmospheric annual cycle: A diagnostic study with the DREAM model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6719-6733
作者:  Hall, Nicholas M. J.;  Leroux, Stephanie;  Ambrizzi, Tercio
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Annual Cycle  Dynamical model  DREAM  Simple GCM  
Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5451-5475
作者:  de Andrade, Felipe M.;  Coelho, Caio A. S.;  Cavalcanti, Iracema F. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Subseasonal prediction  S2S prediction project models  Hindcast quality  Precipitation  Teleconnections  
Quantifying the agreement between observed and simulated extratropical modes of interannual variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4057-4089
作者:  Lee, Jiwoo;  Sperber, Kenneth R.;  Gleckler, Peter J.;  Bonfils, Celine J. W.;  Taylor, Karl E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
CMIP5 model evaluation  Modes of variability  EOF  Metrics  Common basis function