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Adaptation to uncertain sea-level rise; how uncertainty in Antarctic mass-loss impacts the coastal adaptation strategy of the Netherlands 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  Haasnoot, M.;  Kwadijk, J.;  van Alphen, J.;  Le Bars, D.;  van den Hurk, B.;  Diermanse, F.;  van der Spek, A.;  Essink, G. Oude;  Delsman, J.;  Mens, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
sea-level rise  Antarctica  adaptation pathways  deep uncertainty  decision making  coastal adaptation  
African climate response to orbital and glacial forcing in 140,000-y simulation with implications for early modern human environments 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (5) : 2255-2264
作者:  Kutzbach, John E.;  Guan, Jian;  He, Feng;  Cohen, Andrew S.;  Orland, Ian J.;  Chen, Guangshan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
paleoclimate  Africa  climate modeling  glacial and orbital forcing  human dispersal  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Antarctica: The final frontier for marine biological invasions 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (7) : 2221-2241
作者:  McCarthy, Arlie H.;  Peck, Lloyd S.;  Hughes, Kevin A.;  Aldridge, David C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
alien species  biofouling  climate change  introduced species  invasion pathways  marine ecosystems  shipping  Southern Ocean  
Defining tipping points for social-ecological systems scholarship-an interdisciplinary literature review 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (3)
作者:  Milkoreit, Manjana;  Hodbod, Jennifer;  Baggio, Jacopo;  Benessaiah, Karina;  Calderon-Contreras, Rafael;  Donges, Jonathan F.;  Mathias, Jean-Denis;  Rocha, Juan Carlos;  Schoon, Michael;  Werners, Saskia E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
non-linear change  tipping points  social-ecological systems  social tipping points  
Ice over troubled waters: navigating the Northwest Passage using Inuit knowledge and scientific information 期刊论文
CLIMATE RESEARCH, 2018, 75 (1) : 81-94
作者:  Panikkar, Bindu;  Lemmond, Benjamin;  Else, Brent;  Murray, Maribeth
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Northwest Passage  Navigation  Inuit knowledge  Sea ice  climate change  
Long-term ecological changes in marine mammals driven by recent warming in northwestern Alaska 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (1) : 490-503
作者:  Szpak, Paul;  Buckley, Michael;  Darwent, Christyann M.;  Richards, Michael P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Arctic  climate change  marine mammals  paleoecology  sea ice  stable isotopes  western Alaska  
Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (11)
作者:  Nauels, Alexander;  Rogelj, Joeri;  Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich;  Meinshausen, Malte;  Mengel, Matthias
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
sea level rise  Shared Socioeconomic Pathways  climate change  climate impacts  climate mitigation  climate scenarios  antarctic dynamics  
Towards a balanced view of Arctic shipping: estimating economic impacts of emissions from increased traffic on the Northern Sea Route 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2017, 143
作者:  Yumashev, Dmitry;  van Hussen, Karel;  Gille, Johan;  Whiteman, Gail
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Operationalizing longitudinal approaches to climate change vulnerability assessment 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2017, 45
作者:  Fawcett, David;  Pearce, Tristan;  Ford, James D.;  Archer, Lewis
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Adaptation  Longitudinal approaches  Arctic  Vulnerability  Climate change  Inuit