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Adaptation to uncertain sea-level rise; how uncertainty in Antarctic mass-loss impacts the coastal adaptation strategy of the Netherlands 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  Haasnoot, M.;  Kwadijk, J.;  van Alphen, J.;  Le Bars, D.;  van den Hurk, B.;  Diermanse, F.;  van der Spek, A.;  Essink, G. Oude;  Delsman, J.;  Mens, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
sea-level rise  Antarctica  adaptation pathways  deep uncertainty  decision making  coastal adaptation  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Antarctica: The final frontier for marine biological invasions 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (7) : 2221-2241
作者:  McCarthy, Arlie H.;  Peck, Lloyd S.;  Hughes, Kevin A.;  Aldridge, David C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
alien species  biofouling  climate change  introduced species  invasion pathways  marine ecosystems  shipping  Southern Ocean  
How fast will the Antarctic ice sheet retreat? 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 364 (6444) : 936-937
作者:  Steig, Eric J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (11)
作者:  Nauels, Alexander;  Rogelj, Joeri;  Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich;  Meinshausen, Malte;  Mengel, Matthias
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
sea level rise  Shared Socioeconomic Pathways  climate change  climate impacts  climate mitigation  climate scenarios  antarctic dynamics