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Four-dimensional surface motions of the Slumgullion landslide and quantification of hydrometeorological forcing 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Hu, Xie;  Buergmann, Roland;  Schulz, William H.;  Fielding, Eric J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
Determining the Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Contribution to the Observed Intensification of Extreme Precipitation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Paik, Seungmok;  Min, Seung-Ki;  Zhang, Xuebin;  Donat, Markus G.;  King, Andrew D.;  Sun, Qiaohong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Seasonal hysteresis of surface urban heat islands 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (13) : 7082-7089
作者:  Manoli, Gabriele;  Fatichi, Simone;  Bou-Zeid, Elie;  Katul, Gabriel G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
cities  hysteresis  seasonality  surface temperature  urban heat island  
Climate change and agriculture in the Sudan: Impact pathways beyond changes in mean rainfall and temperature 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 169
作者:  Siddig, Khalid;  Stepanyan, Davit;  Wiebelt, Manfred;  Grethe, Harald;  Zhu, Tingju
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Global climate change  Local yield changes  The Sudan  Climate variability  Interventions  
Stochastic Parameterizations and the Climate Response to External Forcing: An Experiment With EC-Earth 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (3)
作者:  Meccia, Virna L.;  Fabiano, Federico;  Davini, Paolo;  Corti, Susanna
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
On the limit to the accuracy of regional-scale air quality models 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (3) : 1627-1639
作者:  Rao, S. Trivikrama;  Luo, Huiying;  Astitha, Marina;  Hogrefe, Christian;  Garcia, Valerie;  Mathur, Rohit
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Climate Adaptation as a Control Problem: Review and Perspectives on Dynamic Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (2)
作者:  Herman, Jonathan D.;  Quinn, Julianne D.;  Steinschneider, Scott;  Giuliani, Matteo;  Fletcher, Sarah
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC-Earth 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (23) : 12726-12740
作者:  Strommen, K.;  Watson, P. A. G.;  Palmer, T. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC-Earth 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Strommen, K.;  Watson, P. A. G.;  Palmer, T. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17