GSTDTAP
DOI10.1029/2019JD030732
The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC-Earth
Strommen, K.; Watson, P. A. G.; Palmer, T. N.
2019-12-08
发表期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
ISSN2169-897X
EISSN2169-8996
出版年2019
文章类型Article;Early Access
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

Stochastic schemes, designed to represent unresolved subgrid-scale variability, are frequently used in short and medium-range weather forecasts, where they are found to improve several aspects of the model. In recent years, the impact of stochastic physics has also been found to be beneficial for the model's long-term climate. In this paper, we demonstrate for the first time that the inclusion of a stochastic physics scheme can notably affect a model's projection of global warming, as well as its historical climatological global temperature. Specifically, we find that when including the "stochastically perturbed parametrization tendencies" (SPPT) scheme in the fully coupled climate model EC-Earth v3.1, the predicted level of global warming between 1850 and 2100 is reduced by 10% under an RCP8.5 forcing scenario. We link this reduction in climate sensitivity to a change in the cloud feedbacks with SPPT. In particular, the scheme appears to reduce the positive low cloud cover feedback and increase the negative cloud optical feedback. A key role is played by a robust, rapid increase in cloud liquid water with SPPT, which we speculate is due to the scheme's nonlinear interaction with condensation.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000501463400001
WOS关键词ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION ; PART II ; ENSEMBLE ; PHYSICS ; STATE ; STRATOCUMULUS ; ATMOSPHERE ; FEEDBACKS ; WEATHER ; SPREAD
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/225856
专题环境与发展全球科技态势
作者单位Univ Oxford, Dept Phys, Oxford, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Strommen, K.,Watson, P. A. G.,Palmer, T. N.. The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC-Earth[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2019.
APA Strommen, K.,Watson, P. A. G.,&Palmer, T. N..(2019).The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC-Earth.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES.
MLA Strommen, K.,et al."The Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization Scheme on Climate Sensitivity in EC-Earth".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2019).
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