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Assessing seasonal demographic covariation to understand environmental-change impacts on a hibernating mammal 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2020, 23 (4) : 588-597
作者:  Paniw, Maria;  Childs, Dylan Z.;  Armitage, Kenneth B.;  Blumstein, Daniel T.;  Martin, Julien G. A.;  Oli, Madan K.;  Ozgul, Arpat
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Bayesian population model  carry-over effects  demography  factor-analytic models  seasonal structured population models  viability  
The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (12) : 926-+
作者:  Lehner, Flavio;  Wood, Andrew W.;  Vano, Julie A.;  Lawrence, David M.;  Clark, Martyn P.;  Mankin, Justin S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
Enhanced equatorial warming causes deep-tropical contraction and subtropical monsoon shift 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (11) : 834-+
作者:  Zhou, Wenyu;  Xie, Shang-Ping;  Yang, Da
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  McHenry, Jennifer;  Welch, Heather;  Lester, Sarah E.;  Saba, Vincent
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate change  habitat suitability models  marine species  range shifts  species vulnerability  
Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Field, Christopher R.;  Ruskin, Katharine J.;  Cohen, Jonathan B.;  Hodgman, Thomas P.;  Kovach, Adrienne, I;  Olsen, Brian J.;  Shriver, W. Gregory;  Elphick, Chris S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Bayesian population viability analysis  coastal birds  disturbance  hurricanes  resilience  stochastic population modelling  
Forecasting species range dynamics with process-explicit models: matching methods to applications 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (11) : 1940-1956
作者:  Briscoe, Natalie J.;  Elith, Jane;  Salguero-Gomez, Roberto;  Lahoz-Monfort, Jose J.;  Camac, James S.;  Giljohann, Katherine M.;  Holden, Matthew H.;  Hradsky, Bronwyn A.;  Kearney, Michael R.;  McMahon, Sean M.;  Phillips, Ben L.;  Regan, Tracey J.;  Rhodes, Jonathan R.;  Vesk, Peter A.;  Wintle, Brendan A.;  Yen, Jian D. L.;  Guillera-Arroita, Gurutzeta
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Demography  mechanistic  population dynamics  process-based models  species distribution model  
Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Modeling Future Projections of Temperature-Related Excess Morbidity due to Infectious Gastroenteritis under Climate Change Conditions in Japan 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (7)
作者:  Onozuka, Daisuke;  Gasparrini, Antonio;  Sera, Francesco;  Hashizume, Masahiro;  Honda, Yasushi
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Quantifying the biophysical and socioeconomic drivers of changes in forest and agricultural land in South and Southeast Asia 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2137-2151
作者:  Xu, Xiaoming;  Jain, Atul K.;  Calvin, Katherine, V
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
afforestation  reforestation  deforestation  drivers  geographically weighted regression  Johnson'  s Relative Weight  South and Southeast Asia  
Reduced carbon use efficiency and increased microbial turnover with soil warming 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (3) : 900-910
作者:  Li, Jianwei;  Wang, Gangsheng;  Mayes, Melanie A.;  Allison, Steven D.;  Frey, Serita D.;  Shi, Zheng;  Hu, Xiao-Ming;  Luo, Yiqi;  Melillo, Jerry M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
carbon use efficiency (CUE)  data-model integration  Harvard forest  microbial biomass turnover (rB)  soil warming  temperature sensitivity