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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Temporal and spatial trends in marine carbon isotopes in the Arctic Ocean and implications for food web studies 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  de la Vega, Camille;  Jeffreys, Rachel M.;  Tuerena, Robyn;  Ganeshram, Raja;  Mahaffey, Claire
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
base of the food web  dissolved inorganic carbon  isoscape  marine mammals  particulate organic matter  sea ice decline  Suess effect  delta C-13  
Modeling optimal responses and fitness consequences in a changing Arctic 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (10) : 3450-3461
作者:  Reimer, Jody R.;  Mangel, Marc;  Derocher, Andrew E.;  Lewis, Mark A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  energetic model  marine mammal  optimality theory  polar bear  state-dependent model  stochastic dynamic programming  Ursus maritimus  
Direct observations of submarine melt and subsurface geometry at a tidewater glacier 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 365 (6451) : 369-+
作者:  Sutherland, D. A.;  Jackson, R. H.;  Kienholz, C.;  Amundson, J. M.;  Dryer, W. P.;  Duncan, D.;  Eidam, E. F.;  Motyka, R. J.;  Nash, J. D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Local snow melt and temperature-but not regional sea ice-explain variation in spring phenology in coastal Arctic tundra 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (7) : 2258-2274
作者:  Assmann, Jakob J.;  Myers-Smith, Isla H.;  Phillimore, Albert B.;  Bjorkman, Anne D.;  Ennos, Richard E.;  Prevey, Janet S.;  Henry, Greg H. R.;  Schmidt, Niels M.;  Hollister, Robert D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arctic tundra  climate change  phenology  sea ice  snow melt  spring  temperature  vegetation  
Antarctica: The final frontier for marine biological invasions 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (7) : 2221-2241
作者:  McCarthy, Arlie H.;  Peck, Lloyd S.;  Hughes, Kevin A.;  Aldridge, David C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
alien species  biofouling  climate change  introduced species  invasion pathways  marine ecosystems  shipping  Southern Ocean  
Constraints on global mean sea level during Pliocene warmth 期刊论文
NATURE, 2019, 574 (7777) : 233-+
作者:  Dumitru, Oana A.;  Austermann, Jacqueline;  Polyak, Victor J.;  Fornos, Joan J.;  Asmerom, Yemane;  Gines, Joaquin;  Gines, Angel;  Onac, Bogdan P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Slowdown in Antarctic mass loss from solid Earth and sea-level feedbacks 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 364 (6444) : 969-+
作者:  Larour, E.;  Seroussi, H.;  Adhikari, S.;  Ivins, E.;  Caron, L.;  Morlighem, M.;  Schlegel, N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Vanishing Bering Sea ice poses climate puzzle 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 364 (6441) : 616-617
作者:  Cornwall, Warren
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Nitrogen isotope evidence for expanded ocean suboxia in the early Cenozoic 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 364 (6438) : 386-+
作者:  Kast, Emma R.;  Stolper, Daniel A.;  Auderset, Alexandra;  Higgins, John A.;  Ren, Haojia;  Wang, Xingchen T.;  Martinez-Garcia, Alfredo;  Haug, Gerald H.;  Sigman, Daniel M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27