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Ocean and land forcing of the record-breaking Dust Bowl heatwaves across central United States 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Cowan, Tim;  Hegerl, Gabriele C.;  Schurer, Andrew;  Tett, Simon F. B.;  Vautard, Robert;  Yiou, Pascal;  Jezequel, Aglae;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Harrington, Luke J.;  Ng, Benjamin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
Identifying a human signal in the North Atlantic warming hole 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Chemke, Rei;  Zanna, Laure;  Polvani, Lorenzo M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  McHenry, Jennifer;  Welch, Heather;  Lester, Sarah E.;  Saba, Vincent
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate change  habitat suitability models  marine species  range shifts  species vulnerability  
Local snow melt and temperature-but not regional sea ice-explain variation in spring phenology in coastal Arctic tundra 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (7) : 2258-2274
作者:  Assmann, Jakob J.;  Myers-Smith, Isla H.;  Phillimore, Albert B.;  Bjorkman, Anne D.;  Ennos, Richard E.;  Prevey, Janet S.;  Henry, Greg H. R.;  Schmidt, Niels M.;  Hollister, Robert D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arctic tundra  climate change  phenology  sea ice  snow melt  spring  temperature  vegetation  
Nitrogen isotope evidence for expanded ocean suboxia in the early Cenozoic 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 364 (6438) : 386-+
作者:  Kast, Emma R.;  Stolper, Daniel A.;  Auderset, Alexandra;  Higgins, John A.;  Ren, Haojia;  Wang, Xingchen T.;  Martinez-Garcia, Alfredo;  Haug, Gerald H.;  Sigman, Daniel M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Global reconstruction of historical ocean heat storage and transport 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (4) : 1126-1131
作者:  Zanna, Laure;  Khatiwala, Samar;  Gregory, Jonathan M.;  Ison, Jonathan;  Heimbach, Patrick
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
ocean heat content  Earth'  s energy imbalance  sea-level rise  climate change  ocean processes  
Ecological and hydroclimate responses to strengthening of the Hadley circulation in South America during the Late Miocene cooling 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (20) : 9747-9752
作者:  Carrapa, Barbara;  Clementz, Mark;  Feng, Ran
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Late Miocene cooling  South America  Hadley circulation  stable isotopes  Andes  
Remote subsurface ocean temperature as a predictor of Atlantic hurricane activity 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (45) : 11460-11464
作者:  Scoccimarro, Enrico;  Bellucci, Alessio;  Storto, Andrea;  Gualdi, Silvio;  Masina, Simona;  Navarra, Antonio
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
hurricanes  Atlantic Ocean  seasonal predictions  subsurface ocean  tropical cyclones  
Annual temperature variation as a time machine to understand the effects of long-term climate change on a poleward range shift 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (8) : 3804-3819
作者:  Crickenberger, Sam;  Wethey, David S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  climate variability  competency window  dispersal  interior range fragmentation  range shift  Semibalanus balanoides