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Comparison of three microphysics parameterization schemes in the WRF model for an extreme rainfall event in the coastal metropolitan City of Guangzhou, China 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 240
作者:  Huang, Yongjie;  Wang, Yaping;  Xue, Lulin;  Wei, Xiaolin;  Zhang, Lina;  Li, Huaiyu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Microphysics parameterization  WRF  Extreme rainfall  Latent heat  
Deciphering the extreme rainfall scenario over Indian landmass using satellite observations, reanalysis and model forecast: Case studies 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 240
作者:  Saha, Upal;  Singh, Tarkeshwar;  Sharma, Priti;  Das Gupta, M.;  Prasad, V. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Extreme rainfall  Monsoon  Instability  Global forecast system  Unified Model  
Spatio-temporal variation of reference evapotranspiration in northwest China based on CORDEX-EA 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 238
作者:  Yang, Linshan;  Feng, Qi;  Adamowski, Jan F.;  Yin, Zhenliang;  Wen, Xiaohu;  Wu, Min;  Jia, Bing;  Hao, Qiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
CORDEX-EA  Reference evapotranspiration  Machine learning algorithm  Northwest China  
Extreme climate after massive eruption of Alaska's Okmok volcano in 43 BCE and effects on the late Roman Republic and Ptolemaic Kingdom 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (27) : 15443-15449
作者:  McConnell, Joseph R.;  Sigl, Michael;  Plunkett, Gill;  Burke, Andrea;  Kim, Woon Mi;  Raible, Christoph C.;  Wilson, Andrew, I;  Manning, Joseph G.;  Ludlow, Francis;  Chellman, Nathan J.;  Innes, Helen M.;  Yang, Zhen;  Larsen, Jessica F.;  Schaefer, Janet R.;  Kipfstuhl, Sepp;  Mojtabavi, Seyedhamidreza;  Wilhelms, Frank;  Opel, Thomas;  Meyer, Hanno;  Steffensen, Jorgen Peder
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/29
ice core  volcano  Okmok  Rome  climate forcing  
Reversal of the seasonality of temperature-attributable mortality from respiratory diseases in Spain 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Achebak, Hicham;  Devolder, Daniel;  Ingole, Vijendra;  Ballester, Joan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Weather regimes linked to daily precipitation anomalies in Northern Chile 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Meseguer-Ruiz, Oliver;  Cortesi, Nicola;  Guijarro, Jose A.;  Sarricolea, Pablo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Weather regimes  Northern Chile  Altiplano  Atacama Desert  Geopotential height  Megadrought  
Verification of high resolution (12 km) Global Ensemble Prediction System 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Mamgain, Ashu;  Sarkar, Abhijit;  Rajagopal, E. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Ensemble Prediction System  Ensemble member  Probabilistic forecasts  Ensemble-spread  Brier score  Reliability diagram  
Geographical distribution of extreme deep and intense convective storms on Earth 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 235
作者:  Wu, Xueke;  Yuan, Tie;  Qie, Kai;  Luo, Jiali
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Extreme rainfall triggered the 2018 rift eruption at Kilauea Volcano 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 491-+
作者:  Cloutier, Richard;  Clement, Alice M.;  Lee, Michael S. Y.;  Noel, Roxanne;  Bechard, Isabelle;  Roy, Vincent;  Long, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The May 2018 rift intrusion and eruption of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'  i, represented one of its most extraordinary eruptive sequences in at least 200 years, yet the trigger mechanism remains elusive(1). The event was preceded by several months of anomalously high precipitation. It has been proposed that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity(2,3), but it remains unknown whether it can have impacts at the greater depths associated with magma transport. Here we show that immediately before and during the eruption, infiltration of rainfall into Kilauea Volcano'  s subsurface increased pore pressure at depths of 1 to 3 kilometres by 0.1 to 1 kilopascals, to its highest pressure in almost 50 years. We propose that weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice was driven by changes in pore pressure within the rift zone, prompting opportunistic dyke intrusion and ultimately facilitating the eruption. A precipitation-induced eruption trigger is consistent with the lack of precursory summit inflation, showing that this intrusion-unlike others-was not caused by the forceful intrusion of new magma into the rift zone. Moreover, statistical analysis of historic eruption occurrence suggests that rainfall patterns contribute substantially to the timing and frequency of Kilauea'  s eruptions and intrusions. Thus, volcanic activity can be modulated by extreme rainfall triggering edifice rock failure-a factor that should be considered when assessing volcanic hazards. Notably, the increasingly extreme weather patterns associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change could increase the potential for rainfall-triggered volcanic phenomena worldwide.


Immediately before and during the eruption of Ki & x304  lauea Volcano in May 2018, anomalously high rainfall increased the pore pressure in the subsurface to its highest level in 50 years, causing weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice.


  
On the behavior of rainfall maxima at the eastern Andes 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 234
作者:  Hierro, R.;  Fonseca, Y. Burgos;  Ziarani, M. Ramezani;  Llamedo, P.;  Schmidt, T.;  de la Torre, A.;  Alexander, P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02