资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

An extreme rainfall event in the coastal metropolitan city of Guangzhou, China is simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using three bulk microphysics schemes to explore the capability to reproduce the observed precipitation features by these schemes and their differences. The detailed comparison among the three runs in terms of radar reflectivity, precipitation, thermodynamic fields and microphysical processes are conducted. Results show that all the simulations can reproduce the two main heavy rainfall centers in Guangzhou and the first convection initiation. The accumulated precipitation in the simulation using the WSM6 scheme performs better than the others in terms of intensity and distribution compared to observations. The weaker accumulated precipitation in the second heavy rainfall center in the simulations using the Thompson and Morrison schemes result from their more dispersed precipitation distributions dominated by the cold pool intensity and distribution. The latent heating from the water vapor condensation dominates the convection initiation and storm development. The latent cooling from the rain water evaporation dominates the cold pool intensity and distribution, which influences the storm moving and subsequent convection propagation, and finally the intensity and distribution of surface precipitation. Sensitivity experiments of the latent heat confirm the dominant roles of latent heating/cooling, especially the water vapor condensation heating and rain water evaporation cooling, in the differences of the thermodynamic fields, storm development, convection propagation and surface precipitation among the three simulations.