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Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Setting and smashing extreme temperature records over the coming century 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2019, 9 (7) : 529-+
作者:  Power, Scott B.;  Delage, Francois P. D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Modeling Future Projections of Temperature-Related Excess Morbidity due to Infectious Gastroenteritis under Climate Change Conditions in Japan 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (7)
作者:  Onozuka, Daisuke;  Gasparrini, Antonio;  Sera, Francesco;  Hashizume, Masahiro;  Honda, Yasushi
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Large-scale distribution of tuna species in a warming ocean 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2043-2060
作者:  Erauskin-Extramiana, Maite;  Arrizabalaga, Haritz;  Hobday, Alistair J.;  Cabre, Anna;  Ibaibarriaga, Leire;  Arregui, Igor;  Murua, Hilario;  Chust, Guillem
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
climate change  exclusive economic zone  future projections  poleward shift  species distribution model  tuna  
Thermoregulatory traits combine with range shifts to alter the future of montane ant assemblages 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 2162-2173
作者:  Bishop, Tom R.;  Parr, Catherine L.;  Gibb, Heloise;  van Rensbure, Berndt J.;  Braschler, Brigitte;  Chown, Steven L.;  Foord, Stefan H.;  Lamy, Kevin;  Munyai, Thinandavha C.;  Okey, Iona;  Tshivhandekano, Pfarelo G.;  Werenkraut, Victoria;  Robertson, Mark P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
abundance  ants  climate change  range shifts  thermoregulation  traits  
Lyme Disease Risks in Europe under Multiple Uncertain Drivers of Change 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (6)
作者:  Li, Sen;  Gilbert, Lucy;  Vanwambeke, Sophie O.;  Yu, Jianjun;  Purse, Beduin, V;  Harrison, Paula A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Global Assessment of Current and Future Groundwater Stress With a Focus on Transboundary Aquifers 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (6) : 4760-4784
作者:  Herbert, Claudia;  Doell, Petra
收藏  |  浏览/下载：0/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
global-scale groundwater stress indicators  transboundary aquifers  global-scale modeling  climate change impacts  
Effects of mesophyll conductance on vegetation responses to elevated CO2 concentrations in a land surface model 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (5) : 1820-1838
作者:  Knauer, Juergen;  Zaehle, Soenke;  De Kauwe, Martin G.;  Bahar, Nur H. A.;  Evans, John R.;  Medlyn, Belinda E.;  Reichstein, Markus;  Werner, Christiane
收藏  |  浏览/下载：13/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
elevated CO2 concentrations  land surface modeling  mesophyll conductance  photosynthetic CO2 sensitivity  representative concentration pathways  
Twenty-first-century climate change impacts on marine animal biomass and ecosystem structure across ocean basins 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (2) : 459-472
作者:  Bryndum-Buchholz, Andrea;  Tittensor, Derek P.;  Blanchard, Julia L.;  Cheung, William W. L.;  Coll, Marta;  Galbraith, Eric D.;  Jennings, Simon;  Maury, Olivier;  Lotze, Heike K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
climate change  ensemble modeling  future projection  marine animal biomass  marine ecosystem models  model intercomparison  ocean basins  uncertainty  
Emergence of robust precipitation changes across crop production areas in the 21st century 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2019, 116 (14) : 6673-6678
作者:  Rojas, Maisa;  Lambert, Fabrice;  Ramirez-Villegas, Julian;  Challinor, Andrew J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：14/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
climate change  natural variability  precipitation  agriculture  CMIP5