GSTDTAP

浏览/检索结果: 共982条,第1-10条 帮助

限定条件                            
已选(0)清除 条数/页:   排序方式:
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2019, 12 (12) : 983-+
作者:  Mankin, Justin S.;  Seager, Richard;  Smerdon, Jason E.;  Cook, Benjamin I.;  Williams, A. Park
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
Observed and simulated changes in precipitation seasonality in Argentina 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Doyle, Moira E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Argentina  CMIP5  precipitation concentration  precipitation seasonality  trends  
Effect of Urbanization on Ozone and Resultant Health Effects in the Pearl River Delta Region of China 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Yim, Steve Hung Lam;  Wang, Mengya;  Gu, Yefu;  Yang, Yuanjian;  Dong, Guanghui;  Li, Qingxiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
urbanization  ozone  health effect  
Assessing the macroeconomic impacts of individual behavioral changes on carbon emissions 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019
作者:  Niamir, Leila;  Kiesewetter, Gregor;  Wagner, Fabian;  Schoepp, Wolfgang;  Filatova, Tatiana;  Voinov, Alexey;  Bressers, Hans
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Behavioral change  Agent-based modeling  Carbon emissions  Macroeconomic impacts  Climate change mitigation  Energy economics  Residential energy  
Volcanic Plume Aging During Passive Degassing and Low Eruptive Events of Etna and Stromboli Volcanoes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Pianezze, J.;  Tulet, P.;  Foucart, B.;  Leriche, M.;  Liuzzo, M.;  Salerno, G.;  Colomb, A.;  Freney, E.;  Sellegri, K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
volcanic plumes  passive degassing  modeling  aerosols aging  cloud condensation nuclei  
Uncertainty in the Evolution of Climate Feedback Traced to the Strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lin, Yuan-Jen;  Hwang, Yen-Ting;  Ceppi, Paulo;  Gregory, Jonathan M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate sensitivity  climate feedback  Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation  
Observed trends in daily rainfall variability result in more severe climate change impacts to agriculture 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019
作者:  Shortridge, Julie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Qian, Y.;  Morakami, H.;  Nakano, M.;  Hsu, P-C;  Delworth, T. L.;  Kapnick, S. B.;  Ramaswamy, V;  Mochizuki, T.;  Morioka, Y.;  Doi, T.;  Kataoka, T.;  Nasuno, T.;  Yoshida, K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
tropical cyclones  North Pacific  Pacific Meridional Mode  central Pacific El Nino  future change  extreme events  
The dynamics of cyclones in the twentyfirst century: the Eastern Mediterranean as an example 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Hochman, Assaf;  Alpert, Pinhas;  Kunin, Pavel;  Rostkier-Edelstein, Dorita;  Harpaz, Tzvi;  Saaroni, Hadas;  Messori, Gabriele
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Cyprus low  Cyclone predictability  Climate change  Cyclone dynamics  Synoptic classification  Dynamical systems  Statistical downscaling  Daily precipitation