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On The Estimation of Internal Climate Variability During the Preindustrial Past Millennium 期刊论文
Geophysical Research Letters, 2022
作者:  Michael E. Mann;  Byron A. Steinman;  Daniel J. Brouillette;  Alejandro Fernandez;  Sonya K. Miller
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2022/01/29
Multidecadal climate oscillations during the past millennium driven by volcanic forcing 期刊论文
Science, 2021
作者:  Michael E. Mann;  Byron A. Steinman;  Daniel J. Brouillette;  Sonya K. Miller
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2021/03/12
Monumental architecture at Aguada Fenix and the rise of Maya civilization 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Bedding, Timothy R.;  Murphy, Simon J.;  Hey, Daniel R.;  Huber, Daniel;  Li, Tanda;  Smalley, Barry;  Stello, Dennis;  White, Timothy R.;  Ball, Warrick H.;  Chaplin, William J.;  Colman, Isabel L.;  Fuller, Jim;  Gaidos, Eric;  Harbeck, Daniel R.;  Hermes, J. J.;  Holdsworth, Daniel L.;  Li, Gang;  Li, Yaguang;  Mann, Andrew W.;  Reese, Daniel R.;  Sekaran, Sanjay;  Yu, Jie;  Antoci, Victoria;  Bergmann, Christoph;  Brown, Timothy M.;  Howard, Andrew W.;  Ireland, Michael J.;  Isaacson, Howard;  Jenkins, Jon M.;  Kjeldsen, Hans;  McCully, Curtis;  Rabus, Markus;  Rains, Adam D.;  Ricker, George R.;  Tinney, Christopher G.;  Vanderspek, Roland K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Archaeologists have traditionally thought that the development of Maya civilization was gradual, assuming that small villages began to emerge during the Middle Preclassic period (1000-350 bc  dates are calibrated throughout) along with the use of ceramics and the adoption of sedentism(1). Recent finds of early ceremonial complexes are beginning to challenge this model. Here we describe an airborne lidar survey and excavations of the previously unknown site of Aguada Fenix (Tabasco, Mexico) with an artificial plateau, which measures 1,400 m in length and 10 to 15 m in height and has 9 causeways radiating out from it. We dated this construction to between 1000 and 800 bc using a Bayesian analysis of radiocarbon dates. To our knowledge, this is the oldest monumental construction ever found in the Maya area and the largest in the entire pre-Hispanic history of the region. Although the site exhibits some similarities to the earlier Olmec centre of San Lorenzo, the community of Aguada Fenix probably did not have marked social inequality comparable to that of San Lorenzo. Aguada Fenix and other ceremonial complexes of the same period suggest the importance of communal work in the initial development of Maya civilization.


Lidar survey of the Maya lowlands uncovers the monumental site of Aguada Fenix, which dates to around 1000-800 bc and points to the role of communal construction in the development of Maya civilization.


  
The relative influence of climate and housing development on current and projected future fire patterns and structure loss across three California landscapes 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2019, 56: 41-55
作者:  Syphard, Alexandra D.;  Rustigian-Romsos, Heather;  Mann, Michael;  Conlisk, Erin;  Moritz, Max A.;  Ackerly, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Fire risk  Climate change  Land use change  Wildfire  Housing density  Geography  
Predicting high-magnitude, low-frequency crop losses using machine learning: an application to cereal crops in Ethiopia 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 154: 211-227
作者:  Mann, Michael L.;  Warner, James M.;  Malik, Arun S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Concerns of young protesters are justified 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 364 (6436) : 139-140
作者:  Hagedorn, Gregor;  Kalmus, Peter;  Mann, Michael;  Vicca, Sara;  Van den Berge, Joke;  van Ypersele, Jean-Pascal;  Bourg, Dominique;  Rotmans, Jan;  Kaaronen, Roope;  Rahmstorf, Stefan;  Kromp-Kolb, Helga;  Kirchengast, Gottfried;  Knutti, Reto;  Seneviratne, Sonia I.;  Thalmann, Philippe;  Cretney, Raven;  Green, Alison;  Anderson, Kevin;  Hedberg, Martin;  Nilsson, Douglas;  Kuttner, Amita;  Hayhoe, Katharine
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
The 'pause' in global warming in historical context: II. Comparing models to observations (vol 13, 123007, 2018) 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (4)
作者:  Lewandowsky, Stephan;  Cowtan, Kevin;  Risbey, James S.;  Mann, Michael E.;  Steinman, Byron A.;  Oreskes, Naomi;  Rahmstorf, Stefan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Imaging Subduction Beneath Mount St. Helens: Implications for Slab Dehydration and Magma Transport 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (6) : 3163-3171
作者:  Mann, Michael Everett;  Abers, Geoffrey A.;  Crosbie, Kayla;  Creager, Kenneth;  Ulberg, Carl;  Moran, Seth;  Rondenay, Stephane
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
receiver function  subduction zone  Cascadia  seismic imaging  Mount St  Helens  
The 'pause' in global warming in historical context: (II). Comparing models to observations 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Lewandowsky, Stephan;  Cowtan, Kevin;  Risbey, James S.;  Mann, Michael E.;  Steinman, Byron A.;  Oreskes, Naomi;  Rahmstorf, Stefan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate models  climate projections  '  pause'  in global warming  
On the Choice of Ensemble Mean for Estimating the Forced Signal in the Presence of Internal Variability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (14) : 5681-5693
作者:  Frankcombe, Leela M.;  England, Matthew H.;  Kajtar, Jules B.;  Mann, Michael E.;  Steinman, Byron A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate variability  Model evaluation  performance  Climate variability  Decadal variability  Interdecadal variability  Multidecadal variability