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A deep dive into the modelling assumptions for biomass with carbon capture and storage (BECCS): a transparency exercise 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (8)
作者:  Butnar, Isabela;  Li, Pei-Hao;  Strachan, Neil;  Portugal Pereira, Joana;  Gambhir, Ajay;  Smith, Pete
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
integrated assessment models  bioenergy with carbon capture and storage  model assumptions  transparency  climate mitigation  
The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
Adding value to extended-range forecasts in northern Europe by statistical post-processing using stratospheric observations 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (14) : 8441-8451
作者:  Korhonen, Natalia;  Hyvarinen, Otto;  Kamarainen, Matti;  Richardson, David S.;  Jarvinen, Heikki;  Gregow, Hilppa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09
Seasonal impact of biogenic very short-lived bromocarbons on lowermost stratospheric ozone between 60 degrees N and 60 degrees S during the 21st century 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (13) : 8083-8102
作者:  Alejandro Barrera, Javier;  Pedro Fernandez, Rafael;  Iglesias-Suarez, Fernando;  Alberto Cuevas, Carlos;  Lamarque, Jean-Francois;  Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Marine productivity and synoptic meteorology drive summer-time variability in Southern Ocean aerosols 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (13) : 8047-8062
作者:  Alroe, Joel;  Cravigan, Luke T.;  Miljevic, Branka;  Johnson, Graham R.;  Selleck, Paul;  Humphries, Ruhi S.;  Keywood, Melita D.;  Chambers, Scott D.;  Williams, Alastair G.;  Ristovski, Zoran D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14
The vertical variability of black carbon observed in the atmospheric boundary layer during DACCIWA 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (13) : 7911-7928
作者:  Altstaedter, Barbara;  Deetz, Konrad;  Vogel, Bernhard;  Babic, Karmen;  Dione, Cheikh;  Pacifico, Federica;  Jambert, Corinne;  Ebus, Friederike;  Baerfuss, Konrad;  Paetzold, Falk;  Lampert, Astrid;  Adler, Bianca;  Kalthoff, Norbert;  Lohou, Fabienne
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Implications of non-linearities between cumulative CO(2)emissions and CO2-induced warming for assessing the remaining carbon budget 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Nicholls, Z. R. J.;  Gieseke, R.;  Lewis, J.;  Nauels, A.;  Meinshausen, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change  global warming  remaining carbon budget  peak temperature  IPCC  
Quantifying the uncertainty introduced by internal climate variability in projections of Canadian crop production 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Qian, Budong;  Jing, Qi;  Smith, Ward;  Grant, Brian;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Zhang, Xuebin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change impacts  crop production  crop modelling  internal climate variability  uncertainty  
Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and carbon budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Jones, Chris D.;  Friedlingstein, Pierre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
carbon budgets  carbon cycle feedbacks  constraints  research priorities