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Understanding the Impact of Observation Data Uncertainty on Probabilistic Streamflow Forecasts Using a Dynamic Hierarchical Model 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (4)
作者:  Das Bhowmik, Rajarshi;  Ng, Tze Ling;  Wang, Jui-Pin
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
uncertainty  measurement error  Bayesian  BDHM  forecasting  Streamflow  
A Bayesian Approach for Statistical-Physical Bulk Parameterization of Rain Microphysics. Part II: Idealized Markov Chain Monte Carlo Experiments 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (3) : 1043-1064
作者:  Van Lier-Walqui, Marcus;  Morrison, Hugh;  Kumjian, Matthew R.;  Reimel, Karly J.;  Prat, Olivier P.;  Lunderman, Spencer;  Morzfeld, Matthias
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Atmosphere  Cloud microphysics  Radars  Radar observations  Bayesian methods  Cloud parameterizations  Model errors  
A Bayesian Approach for Statistical-Physical Bulk Parameterization of Rain Microphysics. Part I: Scheme Description 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (3) : 1019-1041
作者:  Morrison, Hugh;  van Lier-Walqui, Marcus;  Kumjian, Matthew R.;  Prat, Olivier P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Atmosphere  Cloud microphysics  Radars  Radar observations  Bayesian methods  Cloud parameterizations  Model errors  
Advances in Quantifying Streamflow Variability Across Continental Scales: 2. Improved Model Regionalization and Prediction Uncertainties Using Hierarchical Bayesian Methods 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 11061-11087
作者:  Alexander, Richard B.;  Schwarz, Gregory E.;  Boyer, Elizabeth W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
hierarchical Bayesian  hydrological modeling  SPARROW  regionalization methods  
Revealing Hidden Climate Indices from the Occurrence of Hydrologic Extremes 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (9) : 7662-7681
作者:  Renard, Benjamin;  Thyer, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
hydrologic extremesclimate indicesBayesian hierarchical modellingspace-time variabilityfloods  
Improving the CPC's ENSO Forecasts using Bayesian model averaging 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3373-3385
作者:  Zhang, Hanpei;  Chu, Pao-Shin;  He, Luke;  Unger, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载：4/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Assessment of Storm Wind Speed Prediction Using Gridded Bayesian Regression Applied to Historical Events With NCAR's Real-Time Ensemble Forecast System 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (16) : 9241-9261
作者:  Yang, Jaemo;  Astitha, Marina;  Schwartz, Craig S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
A consistent statistical model selection for abrupt glacial climate changes 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6411-6426
作者:  Lohmann, Johannes;  Ditlevsen, Peter D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Dansgaard-Oeschger events  Statistical model comparison  Approximate Bayesian computation  Abrupt climate change  Millennial-scale climate variability  
Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (5) : 1373-1395
作者:  Morales, Annareli;  Posselt, Derek J.;  Morrison, Hugh;  He, Fei
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Statistical Postprocessing of Water Level Forecasts Using Bayesian Model Averaging With Doubly Truncated Normal Components 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (5) : 3997-4013
作者:  Baran, Sandor;  Hemri, Stephan;  El Ayari, Mehrez
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Bayesian model averaging  Box-Cox transformation  ensemble model output statistics  ensemble postprocessing  probabilistic forecasting  truncated normal distribution