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Sensitivity Study of Weather Research and Forecasting Physical Schemes and Evaluation of Cool Coating Effects in Singapore by Weather Research and Forecasting Coupled with Urban Canopy Model Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (13)
作者:  Zhou, Mandi;  Long, Yongping;  Zhang, Xiaoqin;  Donthu, Eswara V. S. K. K.;  Ng, Bing Feng;  Wan, Man Pun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Future of the human climate niche 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (21) : 11350-11355
作者:  Xu, Chi;  Kohler, Timothy A.;  Lenton, Timothy M.;  Svenning, Jens-Christian;  Scheffer, Marten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
climate  migration  societies  
Heat health risk assessment in Philippine cities using remotely sensed data and social-ecological indicators 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Estoque, Ronald C.;  Ooba, Makoto;  Seposo, Xerxes T.;  Togawa, Takuya;  Hijioka, Yasuaki;  Takahashi, Kiyoshi;  Nakamura, Shogo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
A new risk probability calculation method for urban ecological risk assessment 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (2)
作者:  Liu, Changfeng;  Chen, Weiping;  Hou, Ying;  Ma, Lingchao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
urban ecological risk assessment  risk probability  Monte Carlo simulation  copula function  water environment  
Oceanic forcing of penultimate deglacial and last interglacial sea-level rise 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7792) : 660-+
作者:  Rizal, Yan;  Westaway, Kira E.;  Zaim, Yahdi;  van den Bergh, Gerrit D.;  Bettis, E. Arthur, III;  Morwood, Michael J.;  Huffman, O. Frank;  Grun, Rainer;  Joannes-Boyau, Renaud;  Bailey, Richard M.;  Sidarto;  Westaway, Michael C.;  Kurniawan, Iwan;  Moore, Mark W.;  Storey, Michael;  Aziz, Fachroel;  Suminto;  Zhao, Jian-xin;  Aswan;  Sipola, Maija E.;  Larick, Roy;  Zonneveld, John-Paul;  Scott, Robert;  Putt, Shelby;  Ciochon, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Sea-level histories during the two most recent deglacial-interglacial intervals show substantial differences(1-3) despite both periods undergoing similar changes in global mean temperature(4,5) and forcing from greenhouse gases(6). Although the last interglaciation (LIG) experienced stronger boreal summer insolation forcing than the present interglaciation(7), understanding why LIG global mean sea level may have been six to nine metres higher than today has proven particularly challenging(2). Extensive areas of polar ice sheets were grounded below sea level during both glacial and interglacial periods, with grounding lines and fringing ice shelves extending onto continental shelves(8). This suggests that oceanic forcing by subsurface warming may also have contributed to ice-sheet loss(9-12) analogous to ongoing changes in the Antarctic(13,14) and Greenland(15) ice sheets. Such forcing would have been especially effective during glacial periods, when the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) experienced large variations on millennial timescales(16), with a reduction of the AMOC causing subsurface warming throughout much of the Atlantic basin(9,12,17). Here we show that greater subsurface warming induced by the longer period of reduced AMOC during the penultimate deglaciation can explain the more-rapid sea-level rise compared with the last deglaciation. This greater forcing also contributed to excess loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets during the LIG, causing global mean sea level to rise at least four metres above modern levels. When accounting for the combined influences of penultimate and LIG deglaciation on glacial isostatic adjustment, this excess loss of polar ice during the LIG can explain much of the relative sea level recorded by fossil coral reefs and speleothems at intermediate- and far-field sites.


  
Multidecadal Changes in Meteorological Drought Severity and Their Drivers in Mainland China 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (23) : 12937-12952
作者:  Apurv, Tushar;  Xu, Yue-Ping;  Wang, Zhuo;  Cai, Ximing
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
US temperatures: Time trends and persistence 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (13) : 5091-5103
作者:  Gil-Alana, Luis A.;  Sauci, Laura
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate change  fractional integration  global warming  long memory  time trend  surface temperature  
Synoptic Features Responsible for Heat Waves in Central Africa, a Region with Strong Multidecadal Trends 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7951-7970
作者:  Hu, Lisuo;  Luo, Jing-Jia;  Huang, Gang;  Wheeler, Matthew C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere  Africa  Atmospheric circulation  Extreme events  Temperature  Anomalies  
Joint probability risk modelling of storm surge and cyclone wind along the coast of Bay of Bengal using a statistical copula 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (11) : 4206-4217
作者:  Bushra, Nazla;  Trepanier, Jill C.;  Rohli, Robert V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Bay of Bengal  copula  risk  storm surge  tropical cyclones  wind  
Comment on "Impacts of historical warming on marine fisheries production" 期刊论文
SCIENCE, 2019, 365 (6454)
作者:  Szuwalski, Cody
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27