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Revisiting Recent US Heat Waves in a Warmer and More Humid Climate 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Rastogi, Decksha;  Lehner, Flavio;  Ashfaq, Moetasim
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Maher, Nicola;  Lehner, Flavio;  Marotzke, Jochem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
internal variability  SMILEs  large ensembles  short-term projections  mid-term projections  surface temperature  model differences  
Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (17) : 5677-5699
作者:  Sippel, Sebastian;  Meinshausen, Nicolai;  Merrifield, Anna;  Lehner, Flavio;  Pendergrass, Angeline G.;  Fischer, Erich;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmospheric circulation  Climate change  Climate prediction  Regression analysis  Statistical techniques  Climate variability  
Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015-2017 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Wolski, Piotr;  Lehner, Flavio;  Tebaldi, Claudia;  van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan;  Hogesteeger, Sanne;  Singh, Roop;  Holden, Petra;  Fuckar, Neven S.;  Odoulami, Romaric C.;  New, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
extreme event attribution  drought  climate change  
Toward a New Estimate of "Time of Emergence'' of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (19)
作者:  Lehner, Flavio;  Deser, Clara;  Terray, Laurent
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09