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The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
Fasting season length sets temporal limits for global polar bear persistence 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Molnar, Peter K.;  Bitz, Cecilia M.;  Holland, Marika M.;  Kay, Jennifer E.;  Penk, Stephanie R.;  Amstrup, Steven C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09
Short-lived climate forcers have long-term climate impacts via the carbon-climate feedback 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Fu, Bo;  Gasser, Thomas;  Li, Bengang;  Tao, Shu;  Ciais, Philippe;  Piao, Shilong;  Balkanski, Yves;  Li, Wei;  Yin, Tianya;  Han, Luchao;  Li, Xinyue;  Han, Yunman;  An, Jie;  Peng, Siyuan;  Xu, Jing
收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Climate economics support for the UN climate targets 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Haensel, Martin C.;  Drupp, Moritz A.;  Johansson, Daniel J. A.;  Nesje, Frikk;  Azar, Christian;  Freeman, Mark C.;  Groom, Ben;  Sterner, Thomas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Rapid winter warming could disrupt coastal marine fish community structure 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Clark, Nicholas J.;  Kerry, James T.;  Fraser, Ceridwen I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Warming trends increasingly dominate global ocean 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Johnson, Gregory C.;  Lyman, John M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/21
Water rights shape crop yield and revenue volatility tradeoffs for adaptation in snow dependent systems 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Malek, Keyvan;  Reed, Patrick;  Adam, Jennifer;  Karimi, Tina;  Brady, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Human influence on joint changes in temperature, rainfall and continental aridity 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Bonfils, Celine J. W.;  Santer, Benjamin D.;  Fyfe, John C.;  Marvel, Kate;  Phillips, Thomas J.;  Zimmerman, Susan R. H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/09
Light limitation regulates the response of autumn terrestrial carbon uptake to warming 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020
作者:  Zhang, Yao;  Commane, Roisin;  Zhou, Sha;  Williams, A. Park;  Gentine, Pierre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/09