GSTDTAP

浏览/检索结果: 共26条,第1-10条 帮助

已选(0)清除 条数/页:   排序方式:
世界经济论坛发布《2023年全球风险报告》 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第3期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:714/0  |  提交时间:2023/02/05
Global Risks  Mitigate Climate Change  Climate-change Adaptation  Natural Disasters and Extreme Weather Events  
世界气象组织发布《2022年全球气候状况临时报告》 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第22期
作者:  迪里努尔 刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:642/0  |  提交时间:2022/11/20
Global mean temperature  La Niña  Weather and climate extremes  heatwaves  cyclones  
UNEP发布《2021年水文气象差距报告》 快报文章
资源环境快报,2021年第14期
作者:  魏艳红
Microsoft Word(25Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:446/0  |  提交时间:2021/07/30
UNEP  Hydromet gap  Weather and climate services  
WMO发布天气和气候预测未来白皮书 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第9期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(23Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:475/0  |  提交时间:2021/05/05
Weather and Climate Forecasting  challenges and opportunities  infrastructure  operational forecasting  
Germanwatch发布全球气候风险指数报告 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第4期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:1144/0  |  提交时间:2021/02/20
Global Climate Risk Index  extreme weather events  loss and damage  
The role of the surface evapotranspiration in regional climate modelling: Evaluation and near-term future changes 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 237
作者:  Garcia-Valdecasas Ojeda, Matilde;  Jose Rosa-Canovas, Juan;  Romero-Jimenez, Emilio;  Yeste, P.;  Gamiz-Fortis, Sonia R.;  Castro-Diez, Yolanda;  Jesus Esteban-Parra, Maria
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Surface evapotranspiration  Land-surface processes  Regional climate simulations  Weather research and forecasting  Iberian Peninsula  
Indigenous mental health in a changing climate: a systematic scoping review of the global literature 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Middleton, Jacqueline;  Cunsolo, Ashlee;  Jones-Bitton, Andria;  Wright, Carlee J.;  Harper, Sherilee L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Indigenous health  climate change  mental health  weather  seasonality  intangible loss and damage  scoping review methodology  
Extreme rainfall triggered the 2018 rift eruption at Kilauea Volcano 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 491-+
作者:  Cloutier, Richard;  Clement, Alice M.;  Lee, Michael S. Y.;  Noel, Roxanne;  Bechard, Isabelle;  Roy, Vincent;  Long, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The May 2018 rift intrusion and eruption of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'  i, represented one of its most extraordinary eruptive sequences in at least 200 years, yet the trigger mechanism remains elusive(1). The event was preceded by several months of anomalously high precipitation. It has been proposed that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity(2,3), but it remains unknown whether it can have impacts at the greater depths associated with magma transport. Here we show that immediately before and during the eruption, infiltration of rainfall into Kilauea Volcano'  s subsurface increased pore pressure at depths of 1 to 3 kilometres by 0.1 to 1 kilopascals, to its highest pressure in almost 50 years. We propose that weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice was driven by changes in pore pressure within the rift zone, prompting opportunistic dyke intrusion and ultimately facilitating the eruption. A precipitation-induced eruption trigger is consistent with the lack of precursory summit inflation, showing that this intrusion-unlike others-was not caused by the forceful intrusion of new magma into the rift zone. Moreover, statistical analysis of historic eruption occurrence suggests that rainfall patterns contribute substantially to the timing and frequency of Kilauea'  s eruptions and intrusions. Thus, volcanic activity can be modulated by extreme rainfall triggering edifice rock failure-a factor that should be considered when assessing volcanic hazards. Notably, the increasingly extreme weather patterns associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change could increase the potential for rainfall-triggered volcanic phenomena worldwide.


Immediately before and during the eruption of Ki & x304  lauea Volcano in May 2018, anomalously high rainfall increased the pore pressure in the subsurface to its highest level in 50 years, causing weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice.


  
A Large Ensemble Approach to Quantifying Internal Model Variability Within the WRF Numerical Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (7)
作者:  Bassett, R.;  Young, P. J.;  Blair, G. S.;  Samreen, F.;  Simm, W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
ensemble  initial conditions  internal model variability (IMV)  regional climate model (RCM)  uncertainty  Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)  
Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 582 (7811) : 185-186
作者:  Tollefson, Jeff
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Climate sensitivity to atmospheric CO2 levels is likely to be high.


Six-hour weather forecasts have been used to validate estimates of climate change hundreds of years from now. Such tests have great potential - but only if our weather-forecasting and climate-prediction systems are unified.