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2100年格陵兰冰盖融化可能导致海平面上升约18cm 快报文章
资源环境快报,2020年第24期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:472/0  |  提交时间:2020/12/31
Greenland Ice Sheet  Sea Level Rise  CMIP6  Regional Climate Models  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Origin and Dynamics of Saltwater Intrusion in a Regional Aquifer: Combining 3-D Saltwater Modeling With Geophysical and Geochemical Data 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (3) : 1792-1813
作者:  Meyer, Rena;  Engesgaard, Peter;  Sonnenborg, Torben O.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
regional saltwater intrusion model (SEAWAT)  AEM  sea level rise  paleo sea level  climate change effects on saltwater intrusion  
Improving sea level simulation in Mediterranean regional climate models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51 (3) : 1167-1178
作者:  Adloff, Fanny;  Jorda, Gabriel;  Somot, Samuel;  Sevault, Florence;  Arsouze, Thomas;  Meyssignac, Benoit;  Li, Laurent;  Planton, Serge
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Mediterranean  Sea level  Regional climate model  Lateral boundary conditions  Atlantic forcing  
Low-Level Jets Over the Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea: Climatology, Variability, and the Relationship With Regional Atmospheric Circulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (10) : 5240-5260
作者:  Li, Delei;  von Storch, Hans;  Yin, Baoshu;  Xu, Zhenhua;  Qi, Jifeng;  Wei, Wei;  Guo, Donglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
low-level jet  Bohai Sea and Yellow Sea  climatology  regional climate modeling  COSMO-CLM  
The effect of spatial averaging and glacier melt on detecting a forced signal in regional sea level 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (3)
作者:  Richter, Kristin;  Marzeion, Ben;  Riva, Riccardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
regional sea level  internal variability  time of emergence  detection