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Probabilistic Forecasting of El Nino Using Neural Network Models 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Petersik, Paul Johannes;  Dijkstra, Henk A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
El Nino  prediction  machine learning  neural networks  probabilistic forecasting  
A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7429-7445
作者:  Slater, Louise J.;  Villarini, Gabriele;  Bradley, A. Allen;  Vecchi, Gabriel A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Probabilistic forecast  Streamflow forecasts  North-American Multi Model ensemble (NMME)  
Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
Statistical Postprocessing of Water Level Forecasts Using Bayesian Model Averaging With Doubly Truncated Normal Components 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (5) : 3997-4013
作者:  Baran, Sandor;  Hemri, Stephan;  El Ayari, Mehrez
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/26
Bayesian model averaging  Box-Cox transformation  ensemble model output statistics  ensemble postprocessing  probabilistic forecasting  truncated normal distribution  
Precipitation Prediction Skill for the West Coast United States: From Short to Extended Range 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (1) : 161-182
作者:  Pan, Baoxiang;  Hsu, Kuolin;  AghaKouchak, Amir;  Sorooshian, Soroosh;  Higgins, Wayne
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
La Nina  Madden-Julian oscillation  Forecast verification  skill  Hindcasts  Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)  Short-range prediction  
A Stochastic Data-Driven Ensemble Forecasting Framework for Water Resources: A Case Study Using Ensemble Members Derived From a Database of Deterministic Wavelet-Based Models 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (1) : 175-202
作者:  Quilty, John;  Adamowski, Jan;  Boucher, Marie-Amelie
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
ensemble forecasting  probabilistic forecasting  stochastic  input variable selection  data driven  wavelets  
A New Approach to Improve the Track Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Over North Indian Ocean 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7781-7789
作者:  Ganesh, S. Saranya;  Sahai, A. K.;  Abhilash, S.;  Joseph, S.;  Dey, A.;  Mandal, R.;  Chattopadhyay, R.;  Phani, R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
North Indian Ocean cyclonic storms  tropical cyclone track prediction  bias-correction and signal amplification technique  Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System  probabilistic forecasting