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Convection-Permitting Models Offer Promise of More Certain Extreme Rainfall Projections 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Fosser, Giorgia;  Kendon, Elizabeth J.;  Stephenson, David;  Tucker, Simon
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2020/06/16
convection-permitting model  climate change  uncertainty  climate  
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Dittus, Andrea J.;  Hawkins, Ed;  Wilcox, Laura J.;  Sutton, Rowan T.;  Smith, Christopher J.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Forster, Piers M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/05/25
historical aerosol forcing  climate model simulations  Forcing uncertainty  Transient Climate Response  Large ensemble  
A Large Ensemble Approach to Quantifying Internal Model Variability Within the WRF Numerical Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (7)
作者:  Bassett, R.;  Young, P. J.;  Blair, G. S.;  Samreen, F.;  Simm, W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
ensemble  initial conditions  internal model variability (IMV)  regional climate model (RCM)  uncertainty  Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)  
Backward Probability Model for Identifying Multiple Contaminant Source Zones Under Transient Variably Saturated Flow Conditions 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (4)
作者:  Hwang, Hyoun-Tae;  Jeen, Sung-Wook;  Kaown, Dugin;  Lee, Seong-Sun;  Sudicky, Edward A.;  Steinmoeller, Derek T.;  Lee, Kang-Kun
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
backward probability model  source zone identifications  transient flow  vadose zone  uncertainty analysis  HydroGeoSphere  
Does Information Theory Provide a New Paradigm for Earth Science? Hypothesis Testing 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (2)
作者:  Nearing, Grey S.;  Ruddell, Benjamin L.;  Bennett, Andrew R.;  Prieto, Cristina;  Gupta, Hoshin V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
information theory  hypothesis testing  model evaluation  epistemic uncertainty  
Multiscale Data Fusion for Surface Soil Moisture Estimation: A Spatial Hierarchical Approach 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (12) : 10443-10465
作者:  Kathuria, Dhruva;  Mohanty, Binayak P.;  Katzfuss, Matthias
收藏  |  浏览/下载：9/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
soil moisture remote sensing  scaling  multi-instrument data fusion  spatial hierarchical model  uncertainty  physical controls  
Equifinality and Flux Mapping: A New Approach to Model Evaluation and Process Representation Under Uncertainty 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Khatami, Sina;  Peel, Murray C.;  Peterson, Tim J.;  Western, Andrew W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
equifinality  open complex systems  hydrological systems  uncertainty  scientific modeling and model evaluation  modeling philosophy  
Distribution-Based Global Sensitivity Analysis in Hydrology 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Ciriello, Valentina;  Lauriola, Ilaria;  Tartakovsky, Daniel M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/16
uncertainty  surrogate model  polynomial chaos  evapotranspiration  
Evaluation of methods for selecting climate models to simulate future hydrological change 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 157 (3-4) : 407-428
作者:  Ross, Andrew C.;  Najjar, Raymond G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
Climate model ensembles  Hydrological change  Model selection  Model uncertainty  
Uncertainty component estimates in transient climate projections Precision of estimators in a single time or time series approach 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2501-2516
作者:  Hingray, Benoit;  Blanchet, Juliette;  Evin, Guillaume;  Vidal, Jean-Philippe
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Uncertainty sources  Climate projections  ANOVA  Internal variability  Model uncertainty  Scenario uncertainty  Precision of estimates