中文版 | English

在结果中检索

GSTDTAP

浏览/检索结果: 共5条，第1-5条 帮助

已选(0)清除 条数/页：   排序方式：
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Simulating Water Residence Time in the Coastal Ocean: A Global Perspective 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 13910-13919
作者:  Liu, Xiao;  Dunne, John P.;  Stock, Charles A.;  Harrison, Matthew J.;  Adcroft, Alistair;  Resplandy, Laure
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2020/02/17
residence time  coastal geometry and processes  global ocean models  coast-ocean exchanges  
Pacific-North American teleconnection and North Pacific Oscillation: historical simulation and future projection in CMIP5 models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 4379-4403
作者:  Chen, Zheng;  Gan, Bolan;  Wu, Lixin;  Jia, Fan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：19/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Global warming  Pacific-North American teleconnection  North Pacific Oscillation  Tropical Pacific Ocean  CMIP5 climate models  
An ensemble of eddy-permitting global ocean reanalyses from the MyOcean project 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49 (3)
作者:  Masina, Simona;  Storto, Andrea;  Ferry, Nicolas;  Valdivieso, Maria;  Haines, Keith;  Balmaseda, Magdalena;  Zuo, Hao;  Drevillon, Marie;  Parent, Laurent
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Global ocean reanalyses  Data assimilation  Eddy-permitting models  Essential ocean variables  Ensemble mean  Ensemble spread  
Ocean heat content variability and change in an ensemble of ocean reanalyses 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49 (3)
作者:  Palmer, M. D.;  Roberts, C. D.;  Balmaseda, M.;  Chang, Y. -S.;  Chepurin, G.;  Ferry, N.;  Fujii, Y.;  Good, S. A.;  Guinehut, S.;  Haines, K.;  Hernandez, F.;  Koehl, A.;  Lee, T.;  Martin, M. J.;  Masina, S.;  Masuda, S.;  Peterson, K. A.;  Storto, A.;  Toyoda, T.;  Valdivieso, M.;  Vernieres, G.;  Wang, O.;  Xue, Y.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Heat content  Temperature  Variability  Climate change  Global warming  Energy budget  Ocean reanalyses  Ocean state estimation  Ocean models  Inter comparison  Ocean  Observations  Data assimilation