GSTDTAP

浏览/检索结果: 共10条,第1-10条 帮助

已选(0)清除 条数/页:   排序方式:
Integrating data mining and transmission theory in the ecology of infectious diseases 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2020, 23 (8) : 1178-1188
作者:  Han, Barbara A.;  39;Regan, Suzanne M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
Boosted regression  disease dynamics  disease macroecology  pathogen transmission  random forest  statistical learning  zoonosis  zoonotic spillover  
Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:70/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Landscape simplification shapes pathogen prevalence in plant-pollinator networks 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2020, 23 (8) : 1212-1222
作者:  Figueroa, Laura L.;  Grab, Heather;  Ng, Wee Hao;  Myers, Christopher R.;  Graystock, Peter;  McFrederick, Quinn S.;  McArt, Scott H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
agricultural land use  basic reproductive number  Bombus impatiens  Crithidia bombi  diet breadth  disease transmission  network connectance  structural equation models  
Aerodynamic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in two Wuhan hospitals 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Grishin, Evgeni;  Malamud, Uri;  Perets, Hagai B.;  Wandel, Oliver;  Schaefer, Christoph M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:24/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

The ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread rapidly on a global scale. Although it is clear that severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is transmitted through human respiratory droplets and direct contact, the potential for aerosol transmission is poorly understood(1-3). Here we investigated the aerodynamic nature of SARS-CoV-2 by measuring viral RNA in aerosols in different areas of two Wuhan hospitals during the outbreak of COVID-19 in February and March 2020. The concentration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in aerosols that was detected in isolation wards and ventilated patient rooms was very low, but it was higher in the toilet areas used by the patients. Levels of airborne SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the most public areas was undetectable, except in two areas that were prone to crowding  this increase was possibly due to individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 in the crowd. We found that some medical staff areas initially had high concentrations of viral RNA with aerosol size distributions that showed peaks in the submicrometre and/or supermicrometre regions  however, these levels were reduced to undetectable levels after implementation of rigorous sanitization procedures. Although we have not established the infectivity of the virus detected in these hospital areas, we propose that SARS-CoV-2 may have the potential to be transmitted through aerosols. Our results indicate that room ventilation, open space, sanitization of protective apparel, and proper use and disinfection of toilet areas can effectively limit the concentration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in aerosols. Future work should explore the infectivity of aerosolized virus.


Aerodynamic analysis of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in two hospitals in Wuhan indicates that SARS-CoV-2 may have the potential to be transmitted through aerosols, although the infectivity of the virus RNA was not established in this study.


  
Virological assessment of hospitalized patients with COVID-2019 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Kanarek, Naama;  Petrova, Boryana;  Sabatini, David M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:46/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Detailed virological analysis of nine cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) provides proof of active replication of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in tissues of the upper respiratory tract.


Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an acute infection of the respiratory tract that emerged in late 2019(1,2). Initial outbreaks in China involved 13.8% of cases with severe courses, and 6.1% of cases with critical courses(3). This severe presentation may result from the virus using a virus receptor that is expressed predominantly in the lung(2,4)  the same receptor tropism is thought to have determined the pathogenicity-but also aided in the control-of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003(5). However, there are reports of cases of COVID-19 in which the patient shows mild upper respiratory tract symptoms, which suggests the potential for pre- or oligosymptomatic transmission(6-8). There is an urgent need for information on virus replication, immunity and infectivity in specific sites of the body. Here we report a detailed virological analysis of nine cases of COVID-19 that provides proof of active virus replication in tissues of the upper respiratory tract. Pharyngeal virus shedding was very high during the first week of symptoms, with a peak at 7.11 x 10(8) RNA copies per throat swab on day 4. Infectious virus was readily isolated from samples derived from the throat or lung, but not from stool samples-in spite of high concentrations of virus RNA. Blood and urine samples never yielded virus. Active replication in the throat was confirmed by the presence of viral replicative RNA intermediates in the throat samples. We consistently detected sequence-distinct virus populations in throat and lung samples from one patient, proving independent replication. The shedding of viral RNA from sputum outlasted the end of symptoms. Seroconversion occurred after 7 days in 50% of patients (and by day 14 in all patients), but was not followed by a rapid decline in viral load. COVID-19 can present as a mild illness of the upper respiratory tract. The confirmation of active virus replication in the upper respiratory tract has implications for the containment of COVID-19.


  
A mechanism of ferritin crystallization revealed by cryo-STEM tomography 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7800) : 540-+
作者:  van Gastel, Nick;  Stegen, Steve;  Eelen, Guy;  Schoors, Sandra;  Carlier, Aurelie;  Daniels, Veerle W.;  Baryawno, Ninib;  Przybylski, Dariusz;  Depypere, Maarten;  Stiers, Pieter-Jan;  Lambrechts, Dennis;  Van Looveren, Riet;  Torrekens, Sophie
收藏  |  浏览/下载:24/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Protein crystallization is important in structural biology, disease research and pharmaceuticals. It has recently been recognized that nonclassical crystallization involving initial formation of an amorphous precursor phase-occurs often in protein, organic and inorganic crystallization processes(1-5). A two-step nucleation theory has thus been proposed, in which initial low-density, solvated amorphous aggregates subsequently densify, leading to nucleation(4,6,7). This view differs from classical nucleation theory, which implies that crystalline nuclei forming in solution have the same density and structure as does the final crystalline state(1). A protein crystallization mechanism involving this classical pathway has recently been observed directly(8). However, a molecular mechanism of nonclassical protein crystallization(9-15) has not been established(9,11,14). To determine the nature of the amorphous precursors and whether crystallization takes place within them (and if so, how order develops at the molecular level), three-dimensional (3D) molecular-level imaging of a crystallization process is required. Here we report cryogenic scanning transmission microscopy tomography of ferritin aggregates at various stages of crystallization, followed by 3D reconstruction using simultaneous iterative reconstruction techniques to provide a 3D picture of crystallization with molecular resolution. As crystalline order gradually increased in the studied aggregates, they exhibited an increase in both order and density from their surface towards their interior. We observed no highly ordered small structures typical of a classical nucleation process, and occasionally we observed several ordered domains emerging within one amorphous aggregate, a phenomenon not predicted by either classical or two-step nucleation theories. Our molecular-level analysis hints at desolvation as the driver of the continuous order-evolution mechanism, a view that goes beyond current nucleation models, yet is consistent with a broad spectrum of protein crystallization mechanisms.


  
Pathogens manipulate the preference of vectors, slowing disease spread in a multi-host system 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (7) : 1115-1125
作者:  Shoemaker, Lauren G.;  Hayhurst, Evelyn;  Weiss-Lehman, Christopher P.;  Strauss, Alexander T.;  Porath-Krause, Anita;  Borer, Elizabeth T.;  Seabloom, Eric W.;  Shaw, Allison K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Barley  cereal yellow dwarf virus  behavioural ecology  disease ecology  host diversity  pathogen transmission  vector behaviour  vector manipulation hypothesis  vector-borne disease  vectored disease modelling  
Effects of pesticides on exposure and susceptibility to parasites can be generalised to pesticide class and type in aquatic communities 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (6) : 962-972
作者:  Rumschlag, Samantha L.;  Halstead, Neal T.;  Hoverman, Jason T.;  Raffel, Thomas R.;  Carrick, Hunter J.;  Hudson, Peter J.;  Rohr, Jason R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Aquatic ecology  community ecology  disease transmission  ecotoxicology  pesticides  
Going through the motions: incorporating movement analyses into disease research 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2018, 21 (4) : 588-604
作者:  Dougherty, Eric R.;  Seidel, Dana P.;  Carlson, Colin J.;  Spiegel, Orr;  Getz, Wayne M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Disease ecology  exposure  host heterogeneity  movement ecology  transmission  
Inferring infection hazard in wildlife populations by linking data across individual and population scales 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2017, 20 (3)
作者:  Pepin, Kim M.;  Kay, Shannon L.;  Golas, Ben D.;  Shriner, Susan S.;  Gilbert, Amy T.;  Miller, Ryan S.;  Graham, Andrea L.;  Riley, Steven;  Cross, Paul C.;  Samuel, Michael D.;  Hooten, Mevin B.;  Hoeting, Jennifer A.;  Lloyd-Smith, James O.;  Webb, Colleen T.;  Buhnerkempe, Michael G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Antibody  antibody kinetics  disease hazard  force of infection  incidence  individual-level variation  influenza  serosurveillance  transmission  within-host