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Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:70/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Monumental architecture at Aguada Fenix and the rise of Maya civilization 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Bedding, Timothy R.;  Murphy, Simon J.;  Hey, Daniel R.;  Huber, Daniel;  Li, Tanda;  Smalley, Barry;  Stello, Dennis;  White, Timothy R.;  Ball, Warrick H.;  Chaplin, William J.;  Colman, Isabel L.;  Fuller, Jim;  Gaidos, Eric;  Harbeck, Daniel R.;  Hermes, J. J.;  Holdsworth, Daniel L.;  Li, Gang;  Li, Yaguang;  Mann, Andrew W.;  Reese, Daniel R.;  Sekaran, Sanjay;  Yu, Jie;  Antoci, Victoria;  Bergmann, Christoph;  Brown, Timothy M.;  Howard, Andrew W.;  Ireland, Michael J.;  Isaacson, Howard;  Jenkins, Jon M.;  Kjeldsen, Hans;  McCully, Curtis;  Rabus, Markus;  Rains, Adam D.;  Ricker, George R.;  Tinney, Christopher G.;  Vanderspek, Roland K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Archaeologists have traditionally thought that the development of Maya civilization was gradual, assuming that small villages began to emerge during the Middle Preclassic period (1000-350 bc  dates are calibrated throughout) along with the use of ceramics and the adoption of sedentism(1). Recent finds of early ceremonial complexes are beginning to challenge this model. Here we describe an airborne lidar survey and excavations of the previously unknown site of Aguada Fenix (Tabasco, Mexico) with an artificial plateau, which measures 1,400 m in length and 10 to 15 m in height and has 9 causeways radiating out from it. We dated this construction to between 1000 and 800 bc using a Bayesian analysis of radiocarbon dates. To our knowledge, this is the oldest monumental construction ever found in the Maya area and the largest in the entire pre-Hispanic history of the region. Although the site exhibits some similarities to the earlier Olmec centre of San Lorenzo, the community of Aguada Fenix probably did not have marked social inequality comparable to that of San Lorenzo. Aguada Fenix and other ceremonial complexes of the same period suggest the importance of communal work in the initial development of Maya civilization.


Lidar survey of the Maya lowlands uncovers the monumental site of Aguada Fenix, which dates to around 1000-800 bc and points to the role of communal construction in the development of Maya civilization.


  
Mass-spectrometry-based draft of the Arabidopsis proteome 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Vasanthakumar, Ajithkumar;  Chisanga, David;  Blume, Jonas;  Gloury, Renee;  Britt, Kara;  Henstridge, Darren C.;  Zhan, Yifan;  Torres, Santiago Valle;  Liene, Sebastian;  Collins, Nicholas;  Cao, Enyuan;  Sidwell, Tom;  Li, Chaoran;  Spallanzani, Raul German;  Liao, Yang;  Beavis, Paul A.;  Gebhardt, Thomas;  Trevaskis, Natalie;  Nutt, Stephen L.;  Zajac, Jeffrey D.;  Davey, Rachel A.;  Febbraio, Mark A.;  Mathis, Diane;  Shi, Wei;  Kallies, Axel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:38/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Plants are essential for life and are extremely diverse organisms with unique molecular capabilities(1). Here we present a quantitative atlas of the transcriptomes, proteomes and phosphoproteomes of 30 tissues of the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana. Our analysis provides initial answers to how many genes exist as proteins (more than 18,000), where they are expressed, in which approximate quantities (a dynamic range of more than six orders of magnitude) and to what extent they are phosphorylated (over 43,000 sites). We present examples of how the data may be used, such as to discover proteins that are translated from short open-reading frames, to uncover sequence motifs that are involved in the regulation of protein production, and to identify tissue-specific protein complexes or phosphorylation-mediated signalling events. Interactive access to this resource for the plant community is provided by the ProteomicsDB and ATHENA databases, which include powerful bioinformatics tools to explore and characterize Arabidopsis proteins, their modifications and interactions.


A quantitative atlas of the transcriptomes, proteomes and phosphoproteomes of 30 tissues of the model plant Arabidopsis thaliana provides a valuable resource for plant research.


  
Exposure to cold temperature affects the spring phenology of Alaskan deciduous vegetation types 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (2)
作者:  Shi, Mingjie;  Parazoo, Nicholas C.;  Jeong, Su-Jong;  Birch, Leah;  Lawrence, Peter;  Euskirchen, Eugenie S.;  Miller, Charles E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Alaskan deciduous vegetation  leaf budburst  GPP onset  community land model  chilling requirement  
Fungal infection alters the selection, dispersal and drift processes structuring the amphibian skin microbiome 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Wilber, Mark Q.;  Jani, Andrea J.;  Mihaljevic, Joseph R.;  Briggs, Cheryl J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis  community assembly  dispersal  drift  fundamental recruitment number  metacommunity  neutral model  Rana muscosa  Rana sierrae  selection  
Impact of Snow Initialization in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Winter Forecasts With the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Li, F.;  Orsolini, Y. J.;  Keenlyside, N.;  Shen, M. -L.;  Counillon, F.;  Wang, Y. G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts  snow initialization  Norwegian Climate Prediction Model  Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model  Arctic Oscillation  snow-atmosphere coupling  
Superorganisms or loose collections of species? A unifying theory of community patterns along environmental gradients 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (8) : 1243-1252
作者:  Liautaud, Kevin;  van Nes, Egbert H.;  Barbier, Matthieu;  Scheffer, Marten;  Loreau, Michel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Alternative stable states  community organisation  competition theory  critical transitions  environmental gradient  Lotka-Volterra model  
Response of Indian monsoon to increase of resolution in NCAR-CAM5 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 221: 12-26
作者:  Anand, Abhishek;  Bhowmick, Mansi;  Mishra, Saroj K.;  Sahany, Sandeep;  Telukuntla, Chanakya V. Reddy
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
High resolution  Horizontal resolution  Indian summer monsoon  Community Earth System Model  CAM  GCM  
The impact of policy changes: The opportunities of Community Renewable Energy projects in the UK and the barriers they face 期刊论文
ENERGY POLICY, 2019, 129: 1282-1296
作者:  Mirzania, Pegah;  Ford, Andy;  Andrews, Deborah;  Ofori, George;  Maidment, Graeme
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Community Renewable Energy (CRE)  Business model  Feed-in-Tariff (FIT)  
Predicting coral community recovery using multi-species population dynamics models 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (4) : 605-615
作者:  Kayal, Mohsen;  Lenihan, Hunter S.;  Brooks, Andrew J.;  Holbrook, Sally J.;  Schmitt, Russell J.;  Kendall, Bruce E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Community recovery  coral reefs  density dependence  ecosystem function  elasticity analysis  integral projection model  life-history traits  multi-species demographic model  reassembly  size structure