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研究发现动物普遍通过改变形态来应对全球变暖 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第19期
作者:  裴惠娟
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:687/0  |  提交时间:2021/10/06
Animal  Morphologies  Climatic Warming  
The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
The Interplay of Recent Vegetation and Sea Ice Dynamics-Results From a Regional Earth System Model Over the Arctic 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Zhang, W.;  Doscher, R.;  Koenigk, T.;  Miller, P. A.;  Jansson, C.;  Samuelsson, P.;  Wu, M.;  Smith, B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Sea ice  Vegetation feedback  Arctic  Climatic warming  Regional climate modelling  Coupled  
The past and future of global river ice 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 69-+
作者:  Yang, Xiao;  Pavelsky, Tamlin M.;  Allen, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

More than one-third of Earth'  s landmass is drained by rivers that seasonally freeze over. Ice transforms the hydrologic(1,2), ecologic(3,4), climatic(5) and socio-economic(6-8) functions of river corridors. Although river ice extent has been shown to be declining in many regions of the world(1), the seasonality, historical change and predicted future changes in river ice extent and duration have not yet been quantified globally. Previous studies of river ice, which suggested that declines in extent and duration could be attributed to warming temperatures(9,10), were based on data from sparse locations. Furthermore, existing projections of future ice extent are based solely on the location of the 0-degrees C isotherm11. Here, using satellite observations, we show that the global extent of river ice is declining, and we project a mean decrease in seasonal ice duration of 6.10 +/- 0.08 days per 1-degrees C increase in global mean surface air temperature. We tracked the extent of river ice using over 400,000 clear-sky Landsat images spanning 1984-2018 and observed a mean decline of 2.5 percentage points globally in the past three decades. To project future changes in river ice extent, we developed an observationally calibrated and validated model, based on temperature and season, which reduced the mean bias by 87 per cent compared with the 0-degree-Celsius isotherm approach. We applied this model to future climate projections for 2080-2100: compared with 2009-2029, the average river ice duration declines by 16.7 days under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, whereas under RCP 4.5 it declines on average by 7.3 days. Our results show that, globally, river ice is measurably declining and will continue to decline linearly with projected increases in surface air temperature towards the end of this century.


  
Contrasting resistance and resilience to extreme drought and late spring frost in five major European tree species 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (11) : 3781-3792
作者:  Vitasse, Yann;  Bottero, Alessandra;  Cailleret, Maxime;  Bigler, Christof;  Fonti, Patrick;  Gessler, Arthur;  Levesque, Mathieu;  Rohner, Brigitte;  Weber, Pascale;  Rigling, Andreas;  Wohlgemuth, Thomas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climate warming  climatic water balance  dendrochronology  extreme climatic events  frost risk  growing degree-days  tree phenology  tree-ring width  
Shortened temperature-relevant period of spring leaf-out in temperate-zone trees 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Fu, Yongshuo H.;  Geng, Xiaojun;  Hao, Fanghua;  Vitasse, Yann;  Zohner, Constantin M.;  Zhang, Xuan;  Zhou, Xuancheng;  Yin, Guodong;  Penuelas, Josep;  Piao, Shilong;  Janssens, Ivan A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
climatic warming  deciduous trees  leaf-out date  phenology  temperature-relevant period  
Cloud cover and cloud types in the Eurasian Arctic in 1936-2012 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Chernokulsky, Alexander;  Esau, Igor
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Arctic clouds  climatic indices  cloud cover  cloud types  early 20th century warming  sea ice  stratocumulus transition  surface observations  
Effects of Climatic Change on Temperature and Thermal Structure of a Mountain Reservoir 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (3) : 1988-1999
作者:  Lewis, William M., Jr.;  McCutchan, James H., Jr.;  Roberson, Jennifer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
lake warming  lake stability  lake heat budgets  climatic warming of reservoirs  lake warming at high elevation  
Weak Cooling of Cold Extremes Versus Continued Warming of Hot Extremes in China During the Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (8) : 4073-4087
作者:  Shen, Xiangjin;  Liu, Binhui;  Lu, Xianguo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  temperature extremes  warming hiatus  climatic regions  China  
Global climate change increases risk of crop yield losses and food insecurity in the tropical Andes 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2018, 24 (2) : E592-E602
作者:  Tito, Richard;  Vasconcelos, Heraldo L.;  Feeley, Kenneth J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
agricultural production  future climatic scenarios  global warming  herbivores  maize  novel interactions  Peru  potato  small-scale agriculture