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研究人员预计气候变化将增加美国的大气河流洪水破坏 快报文章
资源环境快报,2022年第16期
作者:  薛明媚,吴秀平
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:590/0  |  提交时间:2022/08/31
Climate Change  Atmospheric River  Flood  
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Role of the mean state for the Southern Hemispheric jet stream response to CO(2)forcing in CMIP6 models 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Curtis, Paul Edwin;  Ceppi, Paulo;  Zappa, Giuseppe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change  atmospheric circulation  jet streams  climate models  
The fate of carbon in a mature forest under carbon dioxide enrichment 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7802) : 227-+
作者:  Sun, P. Z.;  Yang, Q.;  Kuang, W. J.;  Stebunov, Y. V.;  Xiong, W. Q.;  Yu, J.;  Nair, R. R.;  Katsnelson, M. I.;  Yuan, S. J.;  Grigorieva, I. V.;  Lozada-Hidalgo, M.;  Wang, F. C.;  Geim, A. K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:70/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Carbon dioxide enrichment of a mature forest resulted in the emission of the excess carbon back into the atmosphere via enhanced ecosystem respiration, suggesting that mature forests may be limited in their capacity to mitigate climate change.


Atmospheric carbon dioxide enrichment (eCO(2)) can enhance plant carbon uptake and growth(1-5), thereby providing an important negative feedback to climate change by slowing the rate of increase of the atmospheric CO2 concentration(6). Although evidence gathered from young aggrading forests has generally indicated a strong CO2 fertilization effect on biomass growth(3-5), it is unclear whether mature forests respond to eCO(2) in a similar way. In mature trees and forest stands(7-10), photosynthetic uptake has been found to increase under eCO(2) without any apparent accompanying growth response, leaving the fate of additional carbon fixed under eCO(2) unclear(4,5,7-11). Here using data from the first ecosystem-scale Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiment in a mature forest, we constructed a comprehensive ecosystem carbon budget to track the fate of carbon as the forest responded to four years of eCO(2) exposure. We show that, although the eCO(2) treatment of +150 parts per million (+38 per cent) above ambient levels induced a 12 per cent (+247 grams of carbon per square metre per year) increase in carbon uptake through gross primary production, this additional carbon uptake did not lead to increased carbon sequestration at the ecosystem level. Instead, the majority of the extra carbon was emitted back into the atmosphere via several respiratory fluxes, with increased soil respiration alone accounting for half of the total uptake surplus. Our results call into question the predominant thinking that the capacity of forests to act as carbon sinks will be generally enhanced under eCO(2), and challenge the efficacy of climate mitigation strategies that rely on ubiquitous CO2 fertilization as a driver of increased carbon sinks in global forests.


  
Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 582 (7811) : 185-186
作者:  Tollefson, Jeff
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Climate sensitivity to atmospheric CO2 levels is likely to be high.


Six-hour weather forecasts have been used to validate estimates of climate change hundreds of years from now. Such tests have great potential - but only if our weather-forecasting and climate-prediction systems are unified.


  
State of the science in reconciling top-down and bottom-up approaches for terrestrial CO2 budget 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Kondo, Masayuki;  Patra, Prabir K.;  Sitch, Stephen;  Friedlingstein, Pierre;  Poulter, Benjamin;  Chevallier, Frederic;  Ciais, Philippe;  Canadell, Josep G.;  Bastos, Ana;  Lauerwald, Ronny;  Calle, Leonardo;  Ichii, Kazuhito;  Anthoni, Peter;  Arneth, Almut;  Haverd, Vanessa;  Jain, Atul K.;  Kato, Etsushi;  Kautz, Markus;  Law, Rachel M.;  Lienert, Sebastian;  Lombardozzi, Danica;  Maki, Takashi;  Nakamura, Takashi;  Peylin, Philippe;  Roedenbeck, Christian;  Zhuravlev, Ruslan;  Saeki, Tazu;  Tian, Hanqin;  Zhu, Dan;  Ziehn, Tilo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
atmospheric inversion  biosphere model  carbon stock change  CO2 evasion  land-use change emissions  net CO2 flux  residual land uptake  riverine carbon export  terrestrial CO2 budget  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Disentangling Drivers of Meteorological Droughts in the European Greater Alpine Region During the Last Two Centuries 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019
作者:  Haslinger, K.;  Hofstaetter, M.;  Kroisleitner, C.;  Schoener, W.;  Laaha, G.;  Holawe, F.;  Bloeschl, G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
drought  atmospheric circulation  circulation types  soil moisture preciptation feedback  Europe  climate change  
Afforestation driving long-term surface water browning 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Skerlep, Martin;  Steiner, Eva;  Axelsson, Anna-Lena;  Kritzberg, Emma S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
afforestation  atmospheric deposition  browning  climate change  DOC  land use  water color  
The Presence of Africa and Limited Soil Moisture Contribute to Future Drying of South America 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (21) : 12445-12453
作者:  Pietschnig, M.;  Lambert, F. H.;  Saint-Lu, M.;  Vallis, G. K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
tropical precipitation change  global warming  Amazon basin  simple scaling  atmospheric circulation  Matsuno-Gill