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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
On the skill of seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts in the California Current System and its connection to ENSO variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7519-7533
作者:  Jacox, Michael G.;  Alexander, Michael A.;  Stock, Charles A.;  Hervieux, Gaelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Predictability  California current system  Upwelling  ENSO  NMME  
The 2019 New Year Stratospheric Sudden Warming and Its Real-Time Predictions in Multiple S2S Models 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (21) : 11155-11174
作者:  Rao, Jian;  Garfinkel, Chaim I.;  Chen, Haishan;  White, Ian P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
stratospheric sudden warming (SSW)  2019 SSW  North Pacific  predictability  sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S)  
The influence of Atlantic High on seasonal rainfall in Argentina 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (12) : 4688-4702
作者:  Maria Garbarini, Eugenia;  Hebe Gonzalez, Marcela;  Luis Rolla, Alfredo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atlantic High  predictability  rainfall variability  seasonal rainfall  
Seasonal predictability of the tropical Indian Ocean SST in the North American multimodel ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3361-3372
作者:  Wu, Yanling;  Tang, Youmin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal predictability  Indian Ocean Dipole mode  Indian Ocean Basin mode  
Predictability of East Asian summer monsoon in seasonal climate forecast models 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Liu, Yunyun;  Ke, Zongjian;  Ding, Yihui
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
East Asian summer monsoon  predictability  seasonal climate forecast models  western Pacific subtropical high  
Seasonal predictability of the tropical Atlantic variability: northern tropical Atlantic pattern 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6909-6929
作者:  Fang, Guangyang;  Huang, Bohua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Seasonal predictability  TAV  NTA  ENSO  CESM  
Improved seasonal predictive skill and enhanced predictability of the Asian summer monsoon rainfall following ENSO events in NCEP CFSv2 hindcasts 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3079-3098
作者:  Shin, Chul-Su;  Huang, Bohua;  Zhu, Jieshun;  Marx, L.;  Kinter, James L., III
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Asian summer monsoon  CFSv2 hindcasts  Contemporaneous and delayed responses to ENSO  Seasonal prediction and predictability  
Regional Arctic sea-ice prediction: potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2721-2743
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Msadek, Rym;  Winton, Michael;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong;  Rosati, Anthony;  Gudgel, Rich
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Sea ice  Seasonal predictability  Arctic  
Predictability of summer extreme precipitation days over eastern China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 4543-4554
作者:  Li, Juan;  Wang, Bin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Extreme precipitation  Eastern China  Physics-based empirical model  Seasonal predictability  Seasonal prediction  East Asian summer monsoon