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Surface Ocean Warming Around Australia Driven by Interannual Variability and Long-Term Trends in Southern Hemisphere Westerlies 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Duran, E. R.;  England, M. H.;  Spence, P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Tasman Sea  South Australian Basin  Ocean surface warming  Southern Annular Mode  interannual wind variability  Twenty first Century projections  
On the relationship between Atlantic meridional overturning circulation slowdown and global surface warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (2)
作者:  Caesar, L.;  Rahmstorf, S.;  Feulner, G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Atlantic meridional overturning circulation  global surface warming  ocean heat uptake  
Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Improved representation of ocean heat content in energy balance models 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 152: 503-516
作者:  Nadiga, Balasubramanya T.;  Urban, Nathan M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Surface warming  Ocean heat uptake  Ocean heat content  Energy balance model  Climate sensitivity  Bayesian analysis  Simple climate model  Radiative nonequilibrium  
Enhanced Decadal Warming of the Southeast Indian Ocean During the Recent Global Surface Warming Slowdown 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (19)
作者:  Li, Yuanlong;  Han, Weiqing;  Zhang, Lei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
decadal warming  southeast Indian Ocean  global surface warming slowdown  Indonesian throughflow  anthropogenic warming  
Circumpolar dynamics of a marine top-predator track ocean warming rates 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (9)
作者:  Descamps, Sebastien;  Anker-Nilssen, Tycho;  Barrett, Robert T.;  Irons, David B.;  Merkel, Flemming;  Robertson, Gregory J.;  Yoccoz, Nigel G.;  Mallory, Mark L.;  Montevecchi, William A.;  Boertmann, David;  Artukhin, Yuri;  Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe;  Erikstad, Kjell-Einar;  Gilchrist, H. Grant;  Labansen, Aili L.;  Lorentsen, Svein-Hakon;  Mosbech, Anders;  Olsen, Bergur;  Petersen, Aevar;  Rail, Jean-Francois;  Renner, Heather M.;  Strom, Hallvard;  Systad, Geir H.;  Wilhelm, Sabina I.;  Zelenskaya, Larisa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
black-legged kittiwake  climate change  nonlinear response  ocean warming rate  population decline  seabird  sea-surface temperature