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Mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet from 1992 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 579 (7798) : 233-+
作者:  Scudellari, Megan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

The Greenland Ice Sheet has been a major contributor to global sea-level rise in recent decades(1,2), and it is expected to continue to be so(3). Although increases in glacier flow(4-6) and surface melting(7-9) have been driven by oceanic(10-12) and atmospheric(13,14) warming, the magnitude and trajectory of the ice sheet'  s mass imbalance remain uncertain. Here we compare and combine 26 individual satellite measurements of changes in the ice sheet'  s volume, flow and gravitational potential to produce a reconciled estimate of its mass balance. The ice sheet was close to a state of balance in the 1990s, but annual losses have risen since then, peaking at 345 +/- 66 billion tonnes per year in 2011. In all, Greenland lost 3,902 +/- 342 billion tonnes of ice between 1992 and 2018, causing the mean sea level to rise by 10.8 +/- 0.9 millimetres. Using three regional climate models, we show that the reduced surface mass balance has driven 1,964 +/- 565 billion tonnes (50.3 per cent) of the ice loss owing to increased meltwater runoff. The remaining 1,938 +/- 541 billion tonnes (49.7 per cent) of ice loss was due to increased glacier dynamical imbalance, which rose from 46 +/- 37 billion tonnes per year in the 1990s to 87 +/- 25 billion tonnes per year since then. The total rate of ice loss slowed to 222 +/- 30 billion tonnes per year between 2013 and 2017, on average, as atmospheric circulation favoured cooler conditions(15) and ocean temperatures fell at the terminus of Jakobshavn Isbr AE(16). Cumulative ice losses from Greenland as a whole have been close to the rates predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for their high-end climate warming scenario(17), which forecast an additional 70 to 130 millimetres of global sea-level rise by 2100 compared with their central estimate.


  
Diagnosing and Predicting ENSO SSTA Development from Moored-Buoy and Scatterometer Winds 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8755-8770
作者:  Chiodi, Andrew M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Wind stress  Air-sea interaction  Seasonal forecasting  General circulation models  Ocean models  
Why Does Global Warming Weaken the Gulf Stream but Intensify the Kuroshio? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7437-7451
作者:  Chen, Changlin;  Wang, Guihua;  Xie, Shang-Ping;  Liu, Wei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Ocean  North Atlantic Ocean  North Pacific Ocean  Ocean circulation  General circulation models  Trends  
Robust and Nonrobust Aspects of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Variability and Mechanisms in the Community Earth System Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7349-7368
作者:  Danabasoglu, Gokhan;  Landrum, Laura;  Yeager, Stephen G.;  Gent, Peter R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Ocean  Atlantic Ocean  Meridional overturning circulation  Climate models  Ocean models  Oceanic variability  
Projected Slowdown of Antarctic Bottom Water Formation in Response to Amplified Meltwater Contributions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (19) : 6319-6335
作者:  Lago, Veronique;  England, Matthew H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Southern Ocean  Abyssal circulation  Meridional overturning circulation  Ocean circulation  Freshwater  Coupled models  
Assessing the Quality of Southern Ocean Circulation in CMIP5 AOGCM and Earth System Model Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (18) : 5915-5940
作者:  Beadling, R. L.;  Russell, J. L.;  Stouffer, R. J.;  Goodman, P. J.;  Mazloff, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Ocean circulation  Climate models  Coupled models  General circulation models  Model comparison  Model evaluation  performance  
Seasonal-to-Interannual Response of Southern Ocean Mixed Layer Depth to the Southern Annular Mode from a Global 1/10 degrees Ocean Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (18) : 6177-6195
作者:  Li, Qian;  Lee, Sukyoung;  England, Matthew H.;  McClean, Julie L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Southern Ocean  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Mixed layer  Climate variability  General circulation models  Interannual variability  
Impact of North Atlantic Freshwater Forcing on the Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation under Glacial and Interglacial Conditions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (15) : 4641-4659
作者:  Kim, Hyo-Jeong;  An, Soon-Il
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Meridional overturning circulation  Ocean circulation  Thermohaline circulation  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Climate variability  Climate models  
Interannual Variability of the North Pacific Mixed Layer Associated with the Spring Tibetan Plateau Thermal Forcing 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (11) : 3109-3130
作者:  Sun, Ruizao;  Duan, Anmin;  Chen, Lilan;  Li, Yanjie;  Xie, Zhiang;  Zhao, Yu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Atmospheric circulation  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  Diabatic heating  Mixed layer  Sea surface temperature  Coupled models  
The Role of Atlantic Heat Transport in Future Arctic Winter Sea Ice Loss 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (11) : 3327-3341
作者:  Arthun, Marius;  Eldevik, Tor;  Smedsrud, Lars H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Arctic  Sea ice  Ocean circulation  Climate change  Climate variability  Coupled models