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Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Cannon, Alex J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
climate model  atmospheric circulation  model evaluation  regional climate  global climate  
Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Roach, Lettie A.;  39;Farrell, Siobhan P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
sea ice  CMIP6  Antarctica  climate models  Southern Ocean  model evaluation  
Video-based AI for beat-to-beat assessment of cardiac function 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7802) : 252-+
作者:  Pleguezuelos-Manzano, Cayetano;  Puschhof, Jens;  Huber, Axel Rosendahl;  van Hoeck, Arne;  Wood, Henry M.;  Nomburg, Jason;  Gurjao, Carino;  Manders, Freek;  Dalmasso, Guillaume;  Stege, Paul B.;  Paganelli, Fernanda L.;  Geurts, Maarten H.;  Beumer, Joep;  Mizutani, Tomohiro;  Miao, Yi;  van der Linden, Reinier;  van der Elst, Stefan;  Garcia, K. Christopher;  Top, Janetta;  Willems, Rob J. L.;  Giannakis, Marios;  Bonnet, Richard;  Quirke, Phil;  Meyerson, Matthew;  Cuppen, Edwin;  van Boxtel, Ruben;  Clevers, Hans
收藏  |  浏览/下载:116/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

A video-based deep learning algorithm-EchoNet-Dynamic-accurately identifies subtle changes in ejection fraction and classifies heart failure with reduced ejection fraction using information from multiple cardiac cycles.


Accurate assessment of cardiac function is crucial for the diagnosis of cardiovascular disease(1), screening for cardiotoxicity(2) and decisions regarding the clinical management of patients with a critical illness(3). However, human assessment of cardiac function focuses on a limited sampling of cardiac cycles and has considerable inter-observer variability despite years of training(4,5). Here, to overcome this challenge, we present a video-based deep learning algorithm-EchoNet-Dynamic-that surpasses the performance of human experts in the critical tasks of segmenting the left ventricle, estimating ejection fraction and assessing cardiomyopathy. Trained on echocardiogram videos, our model accurately segments the left ventricle with a Dice similarity coefficient of 0.92, predicts ejection fraction with a mean absolute error of 4.1% and reliably classifies heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (area under the curve of 0.97). In an external dataset from another healthcare system, EchoNet-Dynamic predicts the ejection fraction with a mean absolute error of 6.0% and classifies heart failure with reduced ejection fraction with an area under the curve of 0.96. Prospective evaluation with repeated human measurements confirms that the model has variance that is comparable to or less than that of human experts. By leveraging information across multiple cardiac cycles, our model can rapidly identify subtle changes in ejection fraction, is more reproducible than human evaluation and lays the foundation for precise diagnosis of cardiovascular disease in real time. As a resource to promote further innovation, we also make publicly available a large dataset of 10,030 annotated echocardiogram videos.


  
GRACE-based Mass Conservation as a Validation Target for Basin-Scale Evapotranspiration in the Contiguous United States 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (2)
作者:  Pascolini-Campbell, Madeleine A.;  Reager, John T.;  Fisher, Joshua B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
evapotranspiration  GRACE  water balance  model evaluation  remote sensing  
Comments on "What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?" 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (2) : 781-785
作者:  Zagar, Nedjeljka;  Szunyogh, Istvan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  Operational forecasting  Data assimilation  Ensembles  Model errors  Model evaluation  performance  
Does Information Theory Provide a New Paradigm for Earth Science? Hypothesis Testing 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (2)
作者:  Nearing, Grey S.;  Ruddell, Benjamin L.;  Bennett, Andrew R.;  Prieto, Cristina;  Gupta, Hoshin V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
information theory  hypothesis testing  model evaluation  epistemic uncertainty  
Early climate models successfully predicted global warming 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7793) : 45-46
作者:  Bertolucci, Sergio;  Mulargia, Francesco;  Giardini, Domenico
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

An evaluation of past climate-model forecasts.


Climate models published between 1970 and 2007 provided accurate forecasts of subsequently observed global surface warming. This finding shows the value of using global observations to vet climate models as the planet warms.


  
Convective Transition Statistics over Tropical Oceans for Climate Model Diagnostics: GCM Evaluation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2020, 77 (1) : 379-403
作者:  Kuo, Yi-Hung;  Neelin, J. David;  Chen, Chih-Chieh;  Chen, Wei-Ting;  Donner, Leo J.;  Gettelman, Andrew;  Jiang, Xianan;  Kuo, Kuan-Ting;  Maloney, Eric;  Mechoso, Carlos R.;  Ming, Yi;  Schiro, Kathleen A.;  Seman, Charles J.;  Wu, Chien-Ming;  Zhao, Ming
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Climate models  Convective parameterization  Diagnostics  Model evaluation  performance  
Variations in the Frequency of Winter Extreme Cold Days in Northern China and Possible Causalities 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8127-8141
作者:  Yuan, Chaoxia;  Li, Wenmao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Extreme events  Snow cover  Temperature  Model evaluation  performance  Arctic Oscillation  
Observed and Simulated Precipitation over Northeastern North America: How Do Daily and Subdaily Extremes Scale in Space and Time? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8563-8582
作者:  Innocenti, Silvia;  Mailhot, Alain;  Frigon, Anne;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Leduc, Martin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
North America  Extreme events  Precipitation  Ensembles  Model evaluation  performance  Seasonal cycle