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EQFL测算为评估地震对国家的影响提供了新方法 快报文章
地球科学快报,2024年第4期
作者:  王立伟
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:612/0  |  提交时间:2024/02/25
Earthquake estimate  impact  
英研究称1990年以来碳捕集与封存能力被高估30% 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第15期
作者:  裴惠娟
Microsoft Word(17Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:613/0  |  提交时间:2022/08/05
CO2  Storage  Estimate  
A cold, massive, rotating disk galaxy 1.5 billion years after the Big Bang 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7808) : 269-+
作者:  Poplawski, Gunnar H. D.;  Kawaguchi, Riki;  Van Niekerk, Erna;  Lu, Paul;  Mehta, Neil;  Canete, Philip;  Lie, Richard;  Dragatsis, Ioannis;  Meves, Jessica M.;  Zheng, Binhai;  Coppola, Giovanni;  Tuszynski, Mark H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:55/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Massive disk galaxies like the Milky Way are expected to form at late times in traditional models of galaxy formation(1,2), but recent numerical simulations suggest that such galaxies could form as early as a billion years after the Big Bang through the accretion of cold material and mergers(3,4). Observationally, it has been difficult to identify disk galaxies in emission at high redshift(5,6) in order to discern between competing models of galaxy formation. Here we report imaging, with a resolution of about 1.3 kiloparsecs, of the 158-micrometre emission line from singly ionized carbon, the far-infrared dust continuum and the near-ultraviolet continuum emission from a galaxy at a redshift of 4.2603, identified by detecting its absorption of quasar light. These observations show that the emission arises from gas inside a cold, dusty, rotating disk with a rotational velocity of about 272 kilometres per second. The detection of emission from carbon monoxide in the galaxy yields a molecular mass that is consistent with the estimate from the ionized carbon emission of about 72 billion solar masses. The existence of such a massive, rotationally supported, cold disk galaxy when the Universe was only 1.5 billion years old favours formation through either cold-mode accretion or mergers, although its large rotational velocity and large content of cold gas remain challenging to reproduce with most numerical simulations(7,8).


A massive rotating disk galaxy was formed a mere 1.5 billion years after the Big Bang, a surprisingly short time after the origin of the Universe.


  
Childhood vaccines and antibiotic use in low- and middle-income countries 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7806) : 94-+
作者:  Louca, Stilianos;  Pennell, Matthew W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Vaccines may reduce the burden of antimicrobial resistance, in part by preventing infections for which treatment often includes the use of antibiotics(1-4). However, the effects of vaccination on antibiotic consumption remain poorly understood-especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where the burden of antimicrobial resistance is greatest(5). Here we show that vaccines that have recently been implemented in the World Health Organization'  s Expanded Programme on Immunization reduce antibiotic consumption substantially among children under five years of age in LMICs. By analysing data from large-scale studies of households, we estimate that pneumococcal conjugate vaccines and live attenuated rotavirus vaccines confer 19.7% (95% confidence interval, 3.4-43.4%) and 11.4% (4.0-18.6%) protection against antibiotic-treated episodes of acute respiratory infection and diarrhoea, respectively, in age groups that experience the greatest disease burden attributable to the vaccine-targeted pathogens(6,7). Under current coverage levels, pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines prevent 23.8 million and 13.6 million episodes of antibiotic-treated illness, respectively, among children under five years of age in LMICs each year. Direct protection resulting from the achievement of universal coverage targets for these vaccines could prevent an additional 40.0 million episodes of antibiotic-treated illness. This evidence supports the prioritization of vaccines within the global strategy to combat antimicrobial resistance(8).


Pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines have reduced antibiotic consumption substantially among children under five years old in low- and middle-income countries  however, this effect could be doubled if all countries were to implement vaccination programmes and meet universal vaccine coverage targets.


  
The projected timing of abrupt ecological disruption from climate change 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 496-+
作者:  Gorgulla, Christoph;  Boeszoermenyi, Andras;  Wang, Zi-Fu;  Fischer, Patrick D.;  Coote, Paul W.;  Padmanabha Das, Krishna M.;  Malets, Yehor S.;  Radchenko, Dmytro S.;  Moroz, Yurii S.;  Scott, David A.;  Fackeldey, Konstantin;  Hoffmann, Moritz;  Iavniuk, Iryna;  Wagner, Gerhard;  Arthanari, Haribabu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:55/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

As anthropogenic climate change continues the risks to biodiversity will increase over time, with future projections indicating that a potentially catastrophic loss of global biodiversity is on the horizon(1-3). However, our understanding of when and how abruptly this climate-driven disruption of biodiversity will occur is limited because biodiversity forecasts typically focus on individual snapshots of the future. Here we use annual projections (from 1850 to 2100) of temperature and precipitation across the ranges of more than 30,000 marine and terrestrial species to estimate the timing of their exposure to potentially dangerous climate conditions. We project that future disruption of ecological assemblages as a result of climate change will be abrupt, because within any given ecological assemblage the exposure of most species to climate conditions beyond their realized niche limits occurs almost simultaneously. Under a high-emissions scenario (representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5), such abrupt exposure events begin before 2030 in tropical oceans and spread to tropical forests and higher latitudes by 2050. If global warming is kept below 2 degrees C, less than 2% of assemblages globally are projected to undergo abrupt exposure events of more than 20% of their constituent species  however, the risk accelerates with the magnitude of warming, threatening 15% of assemblages at 4 degrees C, with similar levels of risk in protected and unprotected areas. These results highlight the impending risk of sudden and severe biodiversity losses from climate change and provide a framework for predicting both when and where these events may occur.


Using annual projections of temperature and precipitation to estimate when species will be exposed to potentially harmful climate conditions reveals that disruption of ecological assemblages as a result of climate change will be abrupt and could start as early as the current decade.


  
Feedback generates a second receptive field in neurons of the visual cortex 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Shi, Enzheng;  Yuan, Biao;  Shiring, Stephen B.;  Gao, Yao;  Akriti;  Guo, Yunfan;  Su, Cong;  Lai, Minliang;  Yang, Peidong;  Kong, Jing;  Savoie, Brett M.;  Yu, Yi;  Dou, Letian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:44/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Animals sense the environment through pathways that link sensory organs to the brain. In the visual system, these feedforward pathways define the classical feedforward receptive field (ffRF), the area in space in which visual stimuli excite a neuron(1). The visual system also uses visual context-the visual scene surrounding a stimulus-to predict the content of the stimulus(2), and accordingly, neurons have been identified that are excited by stimuli outside their ffRF(3-8). However, the mechanisms that generate excitation to stimuli outside the ffRF are unclear. Here we show that feedback projections onto excitatory neurons in the mouse primary visual cortex generate a second receptive field that is driven by stimuli outside the ffRF. The stimulation of this feedback receptive field (fbRF) elicits responses that are slower and are delayed in comparison with those resulting from the stimulation of the ffRF. These responses are preferentially reduced by anaesthesia and by silencing higher visual areas. Feedback inputs from higher visual areas have scattered receptive fields relative to their putative targets in the primary visual cortex, which enables the generation of the fbRF. Neurons with fbRFs are located in cortical layers that receive strong feedback projections and are absent in the main input layer, which is consistent with a laminar processing hierarchy. The observation that large, uniform stimuli-which cover both the fbRF and the ffRF-suppress these responses indicates that the fbRF and the ffRF are mutually antagonistic. Whereas somatostatin-expressing inhibitory neurons are driven by these large stimuli, inhibitory neurons that express parvalbumin and vasoactive intestinal peptide have mutually antagonistic fbRF and ffRF, similar to excitatory neurons. Feedback projections may therefore enable neurons to use context to estimate information that is missing from the ffRF and to report differences in stimulus features across visual space, regardless of whether excitation occurs inside or outside the ffRF. By complementing the ffRF, the fbRF that we identify here could contribute to predictive processing.


Feedback projections onto neurons of the mouse primary visual cortex generate a second excitatory receptive field that is driven by stimuli outside of the classical feedforward receptive field, with responses mediated by higher visual areas.


  
Characterization and Quantification of Gas Hydrates in the California Borderlands 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Kannberg, P. K.;  Constable, S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Gas Hydrate  Marine electromagnetics  Controlled source eletromagnetics  hydrate resource estimate  methane seep  
Dating the skull from Broken Hill, Zambia, and its position in human evolution 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7803) : 372-+
作者:  Mergner, Julia;  Frejno, Martin;  List, Markus;  Papacek, Michael;  Chen, Xia;  Chaudhary, Ajeet;  Samaras, Patroklos;  Richter, Sandra;  Shikata, Hiromasa;  Messerer, Maxim;  Lang, Daniel;  Altmann, Stefan;  Cyprys, Philipp;  Zolg, Daniel P.;  Mathieson, Toby;  Bantscheff, Marcus
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

The cranium from Broken Hill (Kabwe) was recovered from cave deposits in 1921, during metal ore mining in what is now Zambia(1). It is one of the best-preserved skulls of a fossil hominin, and was initially designated as the type specimen of Homo rhodesiensis, but recently it has often been included in the taxon Homo heidelbergensis(2-4). However, the original site has since been completely quarried away, and-although the cranium is often estimated to be around 500 thousand years old(5-7)-its unsystematic recovery impedes its accurate dating and placement in human evolution. Here we carried out analyses directly on the skull and found a best age estimate of 299 +/- 25 thousand years (mean +/- 2s). The result suggests that later Middle Pleistocene Africa contained multiple contemporaneous hominin lineages (that is, Homo sapiens(8,9), H. heidelbergensis/H. rhodesiensis and Homo naledi(10,11)), similar to Eurasia, where Homo neanderthalensis, the Denisovans, Homo floresiensis, Homo luzonensis and perhaps also Homo heidelbergensis and Homo erectus(12) were found contemporaneously. The age estimate also raises further questions about the mode of evolution of H. sapiens in Africa and whether H. heidelbergensis/H. rhodesiensis was a direct ancestor of our species(13,14).


  
Can't see the wood for the trees 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 461-461
作者:  Pagel, Mark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Evolutionary-tree diagrams, which show the branching relationships between species, are widely used to estimate the rates at which new species arise and existing ones become extinct. New work casts doubt on this approach.


  
A simple dynamic model explains the diversity of island birds worldwide 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Li, Junxue;  Wilson, C. Blake;  Cheng, Ran;  Lohmann, Mark;  Kavand, Marzieh;  Yuan, Wei;  Aldosary, Mohammed;  Agladze, Nikolay;  Wei, Peng;  Sherwin, Mark S.;  Shi, Jing
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Colonization, speciation and extinction are dynamic processes that influence global patterns of species richness(1-6). Island biogeography theory predicts that the contribution of these processes to the accumulation of species diversity depends on the area and isolation of the island(7,8). Notably, there has been no robust global test of this prediction for islands where speciation cannot be ignored(9), because neither the appropriate data nor the analytical tools have been available. Here we address both deficiencies to reveal, for island birds, the empirical shape of the general relationships that determine how colonization, extinction and speciation rates co-vary with the area and isolation of islands. We compiled a global molecular phylogenetic dataset of birds on islands, based on the terrestrial avifaunas of 41 oceanic archipelagos worldwide (including 596 avian taxa), and applied a new analysis method to estimate the sensitivity of island-specific rates of colonization, speciation and extinction to island features (area and isolation). Our model predicts-with high explanatory power-several global relationships. We found a decline in colonization with isolation, a decline in extinction with area and an increase in speciation with area and isolation. Combining the theoretical foundations of island biogeography(7,8) with the temporal information contained in molecular phylogenies(10) proves a powerful approach to reveal the fundamental relationships that govern variation in biodiversity across the planet.


Using a global molecular phylogenetic dataset of birds on islands, the sensitivity of island-specific rates of colonization, speciation and extinction to island features (area and isolation) is estimated.