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The relationship among probabilistic, deterministic and potential skills in predicting the ENSO for the past 161 years 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6947-6960
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Tang, Youmin;  Yang, Dejian;  Cheng, Yanjie;  Song, Xunshu;  Hou, Zhaolu;  Shen, Zheqi;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Wu, Yanling;  Li, Xiaojing;  Zhang, Banglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO ensemble forecast  Predictability  Nonlinear monotonic relationship  
On the skill of seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts in the California Current System and its connection to ENSO variability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7519-7533
作者:  Jacox, Michael G.;  Alexander, Michael A.;  Stock, Charles A.;  Hervieux, Gaelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Seasonal forecasting  Predictability  California current system  Upwelling  ENSO  NMME  
Deterministic Skill of Subseasonal Precipitation Forecasts for the East Africa-West Asia Sector from September to May 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (22) : 11887-11896
作者:  Vigaud, N.;  Tippett, M. K.;  Robertson, A. W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
S2S rainfall forecasts show statistically significant skill in the East Africa-West Asia sector out to Week 4  Forecast skill of dynamical models exceeds that of statistical models based on ENSO and the MJO  Tropical-temperate interactions may represent a new source of S2S predictability  
How much of monthly mean precipitation variability over global land is associated with SST anomalies? 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Hu, Zeng-Zhen;  Kumar, Arun;  Jha, Bhaskar;  Huang, Boyin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Predictability  Global land precipitation  Temporal and spatial variations of the SST influence  ENSO  
Maximizing ENSO as a source of western US hydroclimate predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Patricola, Christina M.;  39;Brien, John P.;  39;Brien, Travis A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Precipitation  Hydroclimate  ENSO  Extreme events  Predictability  Western US  
Seasonal predictability of the tropical Atlantic variability: northern tropical Atlantic pattern 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6909-6929
作者:  Fang, Guangyang;  Huang, Bohua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Seasonal predictability  TAV  NTA  ENSO  CESM  
Statistical predictability of Nino indices for two types of ENSO 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5361-5382
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Zuo, Jinqing;  Deng, Yi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of ENSO  Statistical predictability  Nino indices  Precursors  
Seasonal predictability of winter ENSO types in operational dynamical model predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3869-3890
作者:  Ren, Hong-Li;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Tian, Ben;  Liu, Ying;  Ineson, Sarah;  Lee, June-Yi;  Smith, Doug;  Liu, Changzheng;  Thompson, Vikki;  Vellinga, Michael;  MacLachlan, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Two types of winter ENSO events  Predictability  Dynamical model  Evaluation  
Improved seasonal predictive skill and enhanced predictability of the Asian summer monsoon rainfall following ENSO events in NCEP CFSv2 hindcasts 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 3079-3098
作者:  Shin, Chul-Su;  Huang, Bohua;  Zhu, Jieshun;  Marx, L.;  Kinter, James L., III
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Asian summer monsoon  CFSv2 hindcasts  Contemporaneous and delayed responses to ENSO  Seasonal prediction and predictability  
Subseasonal Week 3-5 Surface Air Temperature Prediction During Boreal Wintertime in a GFDL Model 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (1) : 416-425
作者:  Xiang, Baoqiang;  Lin, Shian-Jiann;  Zhao, Ming;  Johnson, Nathaniel C.;  Yang, Xiaosong;  Jiang, Xianan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
subseasonal prediction  surface air temperature  ENSO  NAO  MJO  average predictability time