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WMO发布天气和气候预测未来白皮书 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第9期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(23Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:475/0  |  提交时间:2021/05/05
Weather and Climate Forecasting  challenges and opportunities  infrastructure  operational forecasting  
The role of the surface evapotranspiration in regional climate modelling: Evaluation and near-term future changes 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 237
作者:  Garcia-Valdecasas Ojeda, Matilde;  Jose Rosa-Canovas, Juan;  Romero-Jimenez, Emilio;  Yeste, P.;  Gamiz-Fortis, Sonia R.;  Castro-Diez, Yolanda;  Jesus Esteban-Parra, Maria
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Surface evapotranspiration  Land-surface processes  Regional climate simulations  Weather research and forecasting  Iberian Peninsula  
A Large Ensemble Approach to Quantifying Internal Model Variability Within the WRF Numerical Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (7)
作者:  Bassett, R.;  Young, P. J.;  Blair, G. S.;  Samreen, F.;  Simm, W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
ensemble  initial conditions  internal model variability (IMV)  regional climate model (RCM)  uncertainty  Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)  
Short-term tests validate long-term estimates of climate change 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 582 (7811) : 185-186
作者:  Tollefson, Jeff
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Climate sensitivity to atmospheric CO2 levels is likely to be high.


Six-hour weather forecasts have been used to validate estimates of climate change hundreds of years from now. Such tests have great potential - but only if our weather-forecasting and climate-prediction systems are unified.


  
Physical-empirical models for prediction of seasonal rainfall extremes of Peninsular Malaysia 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 233
作者:  Pour, Sahar Hadi;  Abd Wahab, Ahmad Khairi;  Shahid, Shamsuddin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Extreme rainfall  Climate forecasting  Physical-empirical model  Machine learning algorithm  Recursive feature elimination  
Predictive Skill and Predictable Patterns of the US Seasonal Precipitation in CFSv2 Reforecasts of 60 Years (1958-2017) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8603-8637
作者:  Huang, Bohua;  Shin, Chul-Su;  Kumar, Arun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Precipitation  Seasonal forecasting  Climate models  Multidecadal variability  
Advancing global storm surge modelling using the new ERA5 climate reanalysis 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019
作者:  Dullaart, Job C. M.;  Muis, Sanne;  Bloemendaal, Nadia;  Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ERA5  Climate reanalysis  Global hydrodynamic model  Storm surges  ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System  
The Role of Tropical Heating and Internal Variability in the California Response to the 2015/16 ENSO Event 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (10) : 3115-3128
作者:  Swenson, Erik T.;  Straus, David M.;  Snide, Chelsea E.;  al Fahad, Abdullah
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
El Nino  Heating  Teleconnections  Hydrologic cycle  Seasonal forecasting  Climate models  
Re-emergence of North Atlantic subsurface ocean temperature anomalies in a seasonal forecast system 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4799-4820
作者:  Grist, Jeremy P.;  Sinha, Bablu;  Hewitt, Helene. T.;  Duchez, Aurelie;  MacLachlan, Craig;  Hyder, Patrick;  Josey, Simon A.;  Hirschi, Joel J. -M.;  Blaker, Adam T.;  New, Adrian. L.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Roberts, Chris D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Climate model  Re-emergence  
Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part II: Hydroclimatic Predictability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (18) : 6015-6033
作者:  Gerlitz, Lars;  Steirou, Eva;  Schneider, Christoph;  Moron, Vincent;  Vorogushyn, Sergiy;  Merz, Bruno
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Asia  Climate prediction  Seasonal forecasting  North Atlantic Oscillation  Southern Oscillation