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North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply 期刊论文
Nature, 2020
作者:  D. M. Smith;  A. A. Scaife;  R. Eade;  P. Athanasiadis;  A. Bellucci;  I. Bethke;  R. Bilbao;  L. F. Borchert;  L.-P. Caron;  F. Counillon;  G. Danabasoglu;  T. Delworth;  F. J. Doblas-Reyes;  N. J. Dunstone;  V. Estella-Perez;  S. Flavoni;  L. Hermanson;  N. Keenlyside;  V. Kharin;  M. Kimoto;  W. J. Merryfield;  J. Mignot;  T. Mochizuki;  K. Modali;  P.-A. Monerie;  W. A. Mü;  ller;  D. Nicolí;  P. Ortega;  K. Pankatz;  H. Pohlmann;  J. Robson;  P. Ruggieri;  R. Sospedra-Alfonso;  D. Swingedouw;  Y. Wang;  S. Wild;  S. Yeager;  X. Yang;  L. Zhang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：12/0  |  提交时间：2020/08/09
Link Between Autumnal Arctic Sea Ice and Northern Hemisphere Winter Forecast Skill 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (5)
作者:  Acosta Navarro, J. C.;  Ortega, P.;  Batte, L.;  Smith, D.;  Bretonniere, P. A.;  Guemas, V;  Massonnet, F.;  Sicardi, V;  Torralba, V;  Tourigny, E.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：8/0  |  提交时间：2020/07/02
Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1287-1305
作者:  Manzanas, R.;  Gutierrez, J. M.;  Bhend, J.;  Hemri, S.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Torralba, V.;  Penabad, E.;  Brookshaw, A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：7/0  |  提交时间：2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  C3S  Bias adjustment  Ensemble recalibration  Forecast quality  Reliability  Ensemble size  Hindcast length  
Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 degrees C 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (21) : 11895-11903
作者:  Smith, D. M.;  Scaife, A. A.;  Hawkins, E.;  Bilbao, R.;  Boer, G. J.;  Caian, M.;  Caron, L. -P.;  Danabasoglu, G.;  Delworth, T.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Doescher, R.;  Dunstone, N. J.;  Eade, R.;  Hermanson, L.;  Ishii, M.;  Kharin, V.;  Kimoto, M.;  Koenigk, T.;  Kushnir, Y.;  Matei, D.;  Meehl, G. A.;  Menegoz, M.;  Merryfield, W. J.;  Mochizuki, T.;  Mueller, W. A.;  Pohlmann, H.;  Power, S.;  Rixen, M.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, R.;  Tuma, M.;  Wyser, K.;  Yang, X.;  Yeager, S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：11/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions: prediction skill related to stratospheric aerosol forcing 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (6)
作者:  Menegoz, M.;  Bilbao, R.;  Bellprat, O.;  Guemas, V.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：6/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
ENSO  decadal forecast  climate variability  volcanic aerosols  skill of forecast systems  
Multi-model assessment of the impact of soil moisture initialization on mid-latitude summer predictability 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49
作者:  Ardilouze, Constantin;  Batte, L.;  Bunzel, F.;  Decremer, D.;  Deque, M.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Douville, H.;  Fereday, D.;  Guemas, V.;  MacLachlan, C.;  Mueller, W.;  Prodhomme, C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载：10/0  |  提交时间：2019/04/09
Land-surface initialization  Seasonal forecasting  Land-atmosphere coupling  Multi-model  Ensemble forecast